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To: ChinuSFO who wrote (21284)6/10/1999 10:21:00 PM
From: Ian Davidson  Respond to of 41369
 
From Briefing.com



Tech Stock Analysis



Bonus Link: Tech Stocks Archive


General Commentary:

Up, down, up, down... The roller coaster ride in the tech sector continued, as rate
fears resurfaced when long-bond yield climbed to 6.07%... Mr. Greenspan, if
you're listening, tighten already!.. At this point, .25 pt rate hike would do more good
than harm in that it would ease concerns among bond bears that Fed not being
diligent enough in combating inflation... As for stocks, the market has already priced
in a rate hike of at least 1/4 pt. so stocks likely to rally on the fact... Retail sales and
PPI data due out this morning... For consensus and Briefing.com estimates, see our
Economic Calendar.

While rates continue to draw more attention than they deserve, market yet to factor
in what should be a very strong second quarter in terms of earnings... After
yesterday's close, CMGI (CMGI 101 1/2 -3 3/4) and National Semi (NSM 22
1/2 +1 13/16) reported results... Unfortunately, neither company reported the kind
of results we expect to typify the quarter... Latter company posted a Q4 loss of
$0.24 a share, in line with the First Call mean... NSM lost $0.42 in the year ago
period... Revenues slipped 6.5%... Numbers should be good enough to keep stock
on upward path over intermediate-term... Former didn't fare as well... CMGI
missed street estimate by a wide margin in reporting an operating loss of $0.29...
First Call mean called for a loss of $0.13... Company earned $0.09 in the year ago
period... Revenues jumped 12% sequentially and 141% year-over-year...
However, operating expenses rose by 29% sequentially and 87% y/y... Stock
indicated down 6 points in early after hours trading.

Disappointing results out of CMGI likely to have a dampening effect on the Net
sector in today's trading, as stock seen by many as a proxy for the group... Given
that Internet industry often acts as bellwether for rest of sector, techs likely to start
day off on a negative note... If data come in stronger than expected, selling in the
morning could get ugly.



To: ChinuSFO who wrote (21284)6/10/1999 10:32:00 PM
From: DanielleC  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 41369
 
"What effect will this have on the Inets tomorrow"?????
BLOODBATH!!!!!



To: ChinuSFO who wrote (21284)6/11/1999 6:23:00 AM
From: Venditâ„¢  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 41369
 
Chinmoy Roy

I tend to leave fundamentals out of the equation when figuring out what might happen from day to day, I realize how off center this sounds to most. AOL is in bounce territory and it should get a lift today but from what I have no idea. Today is crucial.

Vendit