To: Westwoodguy who wrote (22577 ) 6/12/1999 7:52:00 PM From: Kerry Lee Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 29386
Let me start by saying I don't trust you. Don't take offense. Why? Because right now, you're the Long's best friend and happen to be on the same side of the trade..HOWEVER, you freely admit that when the technical signs go south, you'll be shorting this and I have no doubt you will frequently posting equally compelling arguments to sell/short..You must be running with the "pros", perhaps Anthony@Pacific or Steve Pluvia?? Pls let me know after you have shorted because that's when I will be poised to accumulate/add to my position <g>. I am a "buy the dip" type of investor as opposed to " buy the momentum" which I personally think is much riskier strategy. I wanted to buy some ANCR on Friday but it never got close to my point of "comfort". Que sera sera. Having gotten that out of the way, I hear about a "Takeover Rumor" on Ancor about once a month, which upon investigation usually leads to a dead end. This time, I have reason to believe that both you and Rizeball are telling the truth or at least part of the truth, since there was a rumor about a special BOD meeting at HQ last week. It is highly unusual for the BOD to be meeting before the end of the quarter. I would appreciate if someone can confirm whether this BOD meeting did indeed take place. The other possibility is that someone/some people may have started an unfounded rumor to either "pump and dump" the stock or drive it up so they can short it at a much higher level...What do YOU think Westwoodguy?? I also believe that Ancor is not interested in selling out the entire company at this juncture since the Tier 1 Investment bankers are now tripping over each other trying to offer Ancor their services.That is NOT a rumor. That is a FACT. Back to the alleged takeover play... Sun buying Ancor makes no sense for Ancor since it would hurt Ancor's ability to land OEMs like HP and EMC..Emulex makes alot of sense as a partner...but on what terms???? It doesn't take a rocket scientist to conclude that IF/WHEN Ancor lands another Tier 1, a $50-70 stock price is realistic/doable based on the market valuation of BRCD ( $1.4 billion on $28 million trailing 12 months revenues and probably 12 month forward forecast of $50-70 million ). If/When Ancor lands another Tier 1, a $50+ million revenue run-rate might even be considered "conservative",especially if they can partner with someone like Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch or other hot tech underwriter like H&Q, BARS, Montgomery (?). THIS IS ALL SPECULATION on my part.