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To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (3126)	6/12/1999 9:26:00 PM
From: Richard Estes	Respond to of 4056

Shorts and longs aren't asymetrical. test them separately, it is difficult to develop good reverse direction systems. if you deal with the full database of stocks, you have 1000s of examples of stocks that have gone down and turned around for the full trip or life cycle. This is a market of stocks not a stock market. To reduce the numbers you might prescan for for big losses in this bull in your favorite type stocks. IBM went down 60% off 1987 high, took it years to return. There are mid-caps that have done it twice or more in last 5 years. The thing that can hurt is lulls in the market not volatility. The bear of the 70s can hurt more people then a 1987. Investors are the ones who get hurt.