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To: Jill who wrote (132619)6/14/1999 9:11:00 AM
From: Lee  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 176387
 
Jill N.,Re:.***Off Topic***And one wonders how much if any is genuine concern about keeping economy stable, and how much is just ego. "I speak, the markets move."

If you look at the performance of rates and CPI from '81, it might be apparent they are striving for good growth with price stability and low inflation.

stls.frb.org

stls.frb.org

Remarks by the Fed Governors regarding the economy are nothing new and have been going on for a long time. Notice the dates on the stories below. Isn't it better to know what concerns there are rather than being completely surprised by a rate hike?

ANALYSIS: FED'S AIM ECONOMIC STABILITY, NOT FEDERAL FUNDS RATE
STABILITY

economeister.com
In short, the likelihood is that inflation will be accelerating

US TREASURIES LOWER ON STRONG STORE-SALES; TRADE LIGHT
economeister.com
U.S. Treasuries sold off Tuesday, pressured by strong store sales reports and a sharp jump in consumer confidence, though dealers stressed that swings during the session were exaggerated by illiquid holiday conditions.

FEDERAL RESERVE MARCH POLICY MEETING MINUTES: SOME TIGHTENING
LIKELY PROSPECT

economeister.com
FOMC members commented on the strength of consumer and business spending, bolstered by soaring share prices and income gains, but were uncertain about the potential of the Asian financial crisis and inventory adjustments to slow the pace of economic activity. All but Jordan saw no urgency to raise rates at that meeting, believing that growth could continue above trend with no acceleration of inflation for "an extended period."

They didn't tighten in '98.

Experts say Fed will raise rates to slow economy and curb inflation
cnnfn.com
NEW YORK (CNNfn) -- Rising oil prices and signs of a strong U.S. economy could combine to convince the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in a preemptive strike on inflation later this month, senior economists said Tuesday. Fears of higher rates have sparked several stock market tumbles this summer and stomped out much of the Bull market's life, as Wall Street pundits and investors debated whether the central bank should raise rates. Some argued the economy is inflation-free, while others maintained that strong demand for goods and services needed to be curbed before inflation set in. So far, no rate change has occurred.

They didn't raise rates in '96. They did raise 25 basis points in March '97 but if you notice in the chart below, the DOW, NAS and SPX continued to make new highs and our returns since '95 haven't been too shabby.<g> (Except maybe DOW stocks)

bigcharts.com

There are lots more stories even from '95 which one could substitute for today's stories and simply change the date. <G> If you're interested, just use the search function on CNNfn and search for either 'inflation fears' or 'rate hikes'.

Regards,

Lee