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Technology Stocks : All About Sun Microsystems -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: hoyasaxa who wrote (17101)6/14/1999 12:06:00 PM
From: Marvin Mansky  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 64865
 
I suggest that you contact Andy Neff at Bear Stearns. He will fill you in on those numbers. I've read his analysis as well as Steve Millunovich at ML, and come to the conclusion SUNW is a "BUY".



To: hoyasaxa who wrote (17101)6/15/1999 9:27:00 PM
From: Marvin Mansky  Respond to of 64865
 
HOYASAXA Please read this post as to why SUNW is a BUY: ALSO IF you want more IN-DEPTH information, call the following Bear Stearns analysts:

Andrew J. Neff (212) 272-4247 June 15,1999
aneff@bear.com
Shaw Wu (212) 272-5928
swu@bear.com
William Bao Bean (212) 272-6915
wbean@bear.com

Subject:
Industry: Enterprise Wide Servers

BEAR, STEARNS & CO. INC.
EQUITY RESEARCH

Sun Microsystems, Inc. (SUNW 59.375) - Buy
Virtual Conference: Quarter On Track, That Vision Thing; Maintain Buy

______________________________________________________________________________
Data
Shares Out 823.5 Market Cap(MM) $48,895

______________________________________________________________________________
Key Points
*** As part of our Virtual Conference, Sun CEO McNealy highlighted growth
prospects, strong demand, and its competitive advantage.
*** We view negative publicity from eBay outage (attributed to Sun's software)
and Microsoft's backing of Java clone maker as temporary -- but near-term
negative -- issues.
*** To listen to the replay of the Sun call, dial 888-841-3475 or 402-220-9142
*** We would view current weakness as an opportunity and continue to rate the
stock as a buy -- we think that Sun's vision as the supplier of IT
infrastructure to the applications services players is compelling
______________________________________________________________________________
Earning Estimates P/E
Q1 Sep Q2 Dec Q3 Mar Q4 Jun Year Year
1999 0.25 0.34 0.35 0.46 1.40 42.4x
2000 0.29 0.38 0.41 0.57 1.65 36.0x
2001 0.36 0.47 0.51 0.66 2.00 29.7x

______________________________________________________________________________

*** Key Points. Yesterday (6/14/99), at the Bear Stearns "Virtual Computer
Conference", Sun Microsystems CEO Scott McNealy offered some of his views on
the competitive trends and emerging opportunities in the computer industry, and
specifically on how Sun Micro is well-positioned to take advantage of this
growth trends. Our key take-aways from his keynote address are:
Well-Positioned. We are confident as ever that Sun is one of the most well-
positioned companies to capitalize on the growth of the Internet with
accelerating e-commerce and telecom infrastructure spending. This shift to
dot.com will require more fault-tolerant and more robust servers, which plays
into Sun's strengths in its Solaris OS, Ultra-SPARC architecture, and
interoperability with Java, Jini, and Project Cascade.
Quarter Appears on Track. The upcoming 4Q99 (June) quarter appears on track,
we are looking for $0.46 vs. $0.36 (also the First Call average) on top of 19%
revenue growth to $3.4 billion - we believe this estimate may turn out to be
conservative owing to the strong momentum in the U.S. and Japan from ISPs
(Internet Service Providers) and Telecom companies due to Sun's stronger focus
on these highest growth markets.
eBay, Transvirtual Not Significant Issues. While there was concern about the
role of Sun's Solaris software in the eBay outage along with word of
Microsoft's backing of Transvirtual, a Java clone developer, we would view
these as short-term distractions.
Maintaining Estimates. We are maintaining our estimates of $1.65 for FY2000
and $2.00 for FY2001.
Continue to Rate Buy. We continue to rate Sun Micro a Buy to reflect our
belief that the company remains one of the best ways to play the explosive
growth of enterprise servers, e-commerce, and server consolidation. We believe
the company's strong fundamentals remain intact with the prospect of further
upside surprises owing to favorable demand trends. We view the current
weakness in the stock as an opportunity to add to positions.

*** The Vision Thing. Scott also spent some time on Sun's vision and strategy.
We believe his vision of Sun as the dot.com infrastructure supplier of choice
highlights our thesis that one of Sun's key strengths is its ability to
leverage off its technology portfolio of software and hardware to create new
market opportunities and applications that drive further growth. For example,
Java and Jini as stand-alone units may not appear to contribute to Sun's top
and bottom lines, however, they have been key to Sun in gaining new customers
and entering new market segments. We have seen this recently as Sun has
penetrated into the data center and telco central office markets with its
"write-once, run anywhere" Java and its fault-tolerance server technology. In
the future, we believe Java and Jini have potential to become significant
contributors as the technologies become more widely deployed in clients,
servers, alternative computing devices, and embedded applications like set-top
boxes, cell phones, and smart cards.

*** To Listen To the Replay. To listen to the replay of Scott McNealy's
keynote, the replay number is 888-841-3475 or 402-220-9142.
First Call Corporation - all rights reserved. 617/345-2500

END OF NOTE