To: Yankee Trader who wrote (5180 ) 6/17/1999 2:20:00 AM From: Asymmetric Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 6317
After Listening to the Earnings Conference Call hard to believe Jabil got thumped as badly as it did. Problem with notebook motherboard (metallic migration) only turned up three days prior ago, and all parties involved agreed best thing would be to redesign, entailing "at worst" a 6 week delay, or possibly only 1 week. This combined with Bay Networks/Nortel design delay, affecting overall possibly 50-60 million in revenue, and 3 cents/share to earnings. No salvaging or obsoleting of any inventory, just additional time to make sure things get done right. I guess from the Wall St reaction, some would've preferred they just keep pushing product out the door at the expense of future reputation for quality and integrity of product produced - injuring both themselves and customer(s) involved. Also from what I heard, the delay would affect only one quarter of revenue and had high probability of being picked up in the next. This contradicts Keith Dunne's assertion in Rich's previous post that this would involve a two quarter hit. Sansome expects growth to continue to exceed 30%, operating income expected to grow 40%, while margins fall somewhat to 10.5%. EPS for year 2000 to grow 33% over 1999, Idaho and Italy both at capacity - Greenfield, Mass a new 260,000 facility to come online Q1 of fiscal 2000 - a total of about 20 customers end of Q3, and exceeding their own goal of adding 2-3 customers per year with the report of 4 new customers, of which Lucent is expected to eventually dwarf much of the other business that exists today. Sheesh - Lucent, Cisco, Nortel, in telecomm. Other companies would die to have just one of those customers in their corner. And both Lucent and Nortel are just barely beginning to outsource manufacturing. Telecomm manufacturing expected to rise to 50% of Jabil's business. At least I agree with Keith Dunne on one thing. From the looks of things, and from what I heard, we are only in the third inning of this thing. Batter Up! Good luck to all. Peter.