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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: engineer who wrote (32449)6/16/1999 1:23:00 PM
From: califjk  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 152472
 
QCOM will be at 149 15/16 a week from Friday....eom



To: engineer who wrote (32449)6/16/1999 2:36:00 PM
From: Ruffian  Respond to of 152472
 
Good Yahoo Post>

Zoog
by: Explorer_at_large (36/M/Southwest)
22590 of 22590
I run a cable company located in the western United States and manage a portfolio of private
investments. I hold several minority interests in cellular properties, several of which are IS-136 and
several of which are CDMA (IS-95).

As you probably well know, network capacity is a fungible concept, and constrained by both coverage
requirements and capacity requirements. Still, on an apples-to-apples basis, with the network plan
distilled down to single-cell performance, our network engineers have not exceeded two times AMPS
with IS-136. While IS-136 voice quality improved with the new vocoder, to my ears, our CDMA
systems sound better, approximating wireline. Our CDMA system performance has varied considerably
by vendor. One system, based on MOT hardware, seems gated at 4x-5x AMPs, while our Lucent
systems are performing much better, reaching 7x-10x AMPS (again based on single cell extrapolations).
According to what I have been told, Lucent expects new infrastructure designs to take the CDMA
networks well into the double-digits (11x-14x); I "from Missouri" on this point.

If the business plan calls for rapidly loading the system, and anticipated significant wireless data revenue
over time, CDMA is really the only alternative. TDMA is viable if you're expecting to be coverage
constrained rather than capacity constrained. Still, as it has been explained to me, TDMA is poorly
suited, from an architectural standpoint, to handle bursty, data-based traffic and, again, I am told not to
expect EDGE rewrite the basic physics.

People, in my opinion, are too emotional about GSM versus CDMA versus whatever. I expect Nokia
and Ericsson will be able to sell TDMA hardware to legacy networks for many years to come. However,
based on the numbers, and my understanding of them, I cannot understand why any operator would look
to TDMA-based technologies for a de novo network. This suggests to me that Qualcomm owns the
future, while Nokia is treading water in the past. EAL