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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Vitas who wrote (17630)6/16/1999 8:29:00 PM
From: Casaubon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
do you think this implies that, if we don't go down by the cycle low date (+/- a few days), then we would explode to the upside (ie the cycle low was flat, not down).



To: Vitas who wrote (17630)6/16/1999 10:28:00 PM
From: bearshark  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Vitas: Take a break from the days; let's talk volume. On the NYSE today, there was an increase of 91 million shares over yesterday as of noon Eastern. For the next 4 hours, today's volume was 15 million greater than yesterday. Today's volume was nothing on the NYSE anyway.

Check out the moneyflow on the WSJ-Interactive. You will find extraordinary moneyflow today. You will also find similar moneyflow for 3/19/99 and 1/21/99. If I calculated the dates right, they were expiration week dates.

I went over my spreadsheet tonight and looked over the next 10 to 15 trading days. If everything stays neutral, I will have another turning point during the first full week of July. The interesting thing is that there should be absolutely no ooomph behind the turning point.

Things could change if the money made its presence felt. For now, it looks like we are going to flop around here.



To: Vitas who wrote (17630)6/16/1999 11:12:00 PM
From: Les H  Respond to of 99985
 
Decision Point had a rundown of the 10- and 20-week cycles starting from October 8. Since each of those two cycles terminate at week 40 and not week 38.6, 39, etc., the termination date for the 9th month would be a week later than July 8. July 8 is also coincident with Robert Rubin leaving office that week.