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To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (2939)6/17/1999 1:51:00 AM
From: Jong Hyun Yoo  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 5867
 
Brian,

TEL has been extremely competitive in the oxide etch area
mainly its process module has a great repeatability and has a
very wide window. TEL was quick to take market share away from
LAM when it was suffering from mechanical reliability issues
during the transitional period to TCP products. I believe that
if LAM lost a market share in the oxide etch business, it definitely
lost more to TEL than to AMAT. Gaining market share is not an easy
task since once the machine is qualified for a certain application,
the chipmakers like to stay with the same vendor during the entire
product cycle.

Fortunately for LAM, the continuous shrinkage of device line width
made this market share game to start from scratch. They cannot use
the existing TEL products to etch below .18 um and hence many
chipmakers are in the process of reevaluating the vendors for
new process. Of course, TEL is trying to compete for the new process, too with new products. However, from what I have heard, some customers
are a bit concerned with low etch rate of TEL systems for high aspect
ratio structures.. LAM is trying to use this opportunity to gain
market share from TEL with 4520XLE, EXELAN, and 9600PTX. LAM's products in the oxide etch area has been strongest in the history
of the company and should be able to win large orders from Korean and
Taiwanese customers. This is what I believe will happen and I am sure
that LAM employees feel the same.

As for the competition with AMAT, AMAT has some nice products as well,
especially its new IPS oxide etch systems. IPS is supposed to be
low pressure. high density plasma system that will give you a high etch rate for very demanding high aspect ratio etch. However, it has
some weakness as well... especially PR selectivity. So everything
is up in the air right now, which is good news for LAM. LAM was behind
TEL and AMAT before but now it seems like they are going head to head
against each other.

I can say that LAM did very well with Samsung for the orders for its
new FAB in Korea and AMAT was a bit disappointed with the percentage
of orders it won. This is not to say AMAT did bad because AMAT probably won a lot of orders but not just as much as it was expecting.
I hope that this trend continues.. With increasing EPS and operation
efficiency, LAM will gain more respect from the analysts and will
someday trade at the share price of AMAT and NVLS..