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Street Life
Thursday, June 17, 1999, 7:00 p.m.
Greenspan Warns, Abby Reassures, Markets Tango
By Amy Kover
Rate hike? Whatever!!! The Dow blew off Greenspan's rate-increase warning without batting an eye. Rallied by a tidy 56.70, to 10841.60. Yeah, man!!! Fuggehdaboutit!! Well, it didn't EXACTLY happen like that. Here's the real (slightly more pathetic) story: Markets opened lower as everyone trembled over the upcoming speech. After the speech, the Dow stumbled around. Directionless. Unsure. Until Queen Abby (Joseph Cohen)--or Mom--fluttered in and promised that the market could handle its "FOMC flu shot." That's when things started to roll. Not only did the Dow tango, but the S&P rose 9.49, to 1339.90. Thanks, Mom. Meanwhile, NASDAQ rallied on autopilot. Didn't care about Greenie, didn't care about nothin'. Closed the day with a cocky 26.32 point gain, to 2544.15. As Larry Wachtel put it: "Add that to yesterday's gain, and it's impressive!" All right, here's the scoop on today....
GREENSPAN SPEAKS, SIGH, CLEARLY.... Another reason stock went up: Markets hate nothing more than trading in the dark. And believe it or not, Greenspan actually cleared up some confusion today. Sounding a bit like a Jedi, he acknowledged "developing imbalances" that could hurt this non-inflationary economy. Then he went on to say "it is useful to preempt forces of imbalance before they threaten economic stability." Yeah, the Man is ready for 1-2-3-4 HIKE! But it seems like a one-time deal. Hopefully, today's performance means that the markets are over that pre-hike anxiety. After all, the long bond rate fell below the 6% mark today. That's always nice....
HIGH LIFE IN THE NASDAQ.... Here are the cool ones: CMGI took home over 3 points, to $96 1/2. Was up as high as $104. @Home snagged almost 4 points. Oracle gained nearly 2. And Microsoft rose 1 7/8, to $82 7/8. Big Bill loves it....
COMPAQ'S SLUMP.... Ouch. First it was Compaq's CEO who took the fall; now it's the earnings. CPQ scared the devil outta everyone this morning when it warned that second-quarter earnings would actually be in the red. Supposed to fall as much as 15 cents, as opposed to the expected 20-cent gain. Also taking a third-quarter restructuring charge. Like Linus on Peanuts, CPQ says it's not living up to its "potential." Gee, maybe CPQ needs to go to a Dale Carnegie seminar or therapy for underachievers. Nah! Instead they're going to restructure. Lay a few people off. Sounds like too little, too late to me. Some value players are scooping it up, though. I heard Nancy Tengler on CNBC yesterday saying that she's got a little. (BTW, she was great on CNBC. Held her own against Joe K. with the wisecracks. You go, Nancy!) But hey, it's all cool. Compaq actually rose 25 cents.
THIS COW ISN'T TIPPING.... Speaking of PCs, did anyone notice that Gateway said it would hit its Q2 earnings yesterday, and it entered the sub-$1,000 PC market? Stock's up over 1 1/2 points today. Who's the lame cow now?
INTEL.... Compaq's fellow sufferer--Intel, the mighty semi. CS First Boston's Charlie Glavin reduced 1999 estimates to $2.25 from $2.32. His estimates for 2000 went down, too. Says they're not shipping enough, and that average selling prices are going down. Deadly combo. Intel investors thought so too. Stock lost 1 11/16 points.
Loose Change
Maria Bartiromo and Jonathan Steinberg's wedding announcement was in the NYT this weekend. And she's already back at work this morning! Bum deal. When does she get to go on her glam three-week honeymoon with her fabulously wealthy husband?... Send these guys a sympathy card. Or maybe not. American Greetings earnings may have fallen 68%, but it was better than what analysts had ordered. So, stock rose over 1 point. With estimates like that, who needs bears?... Remember the Tylenol scare in the early '80s? That's what this Coke a la Europe thing reminds me of. Only milder.... Nursing facility Omnicare warned it will miss earnings. Blamed part of their troubles on "a significantly diminished acuity level among residents of these facilities." Not sure exactly what that means, but it can't be good. Lost $3.25.... Kellogg may close one of its cereal plants in Battle Creek. (Am I just the bearer of bad news today or what? Oh yeah, and the cat died.).... You heard of Oscar and Felix, so how 'bout Bill Gates and Shaq? Kinda strange, but those two crazy guys got together to talk to kids about staying safe online. (Wonder if they warned kids about our site.).... All right, time to talk about the Knicks' dismal first game in the finals. They were outsized, outshot, outplayed. LJ made a valiant appearance, but couldn't do squat. And Marcus had some serious foul trouble. That can't happen. We all just need to sit down and regroup. There's got to be a better way to play these Spurs. (Them boys in Texas grow so BIG though!)
Talk Back to Street Life....
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