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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dave B who wrote (22842)6/17/1999 6:37:00 PM
From: MileHigh  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
 
Dave,

This could have been the good news for RMBS today. If these players back away from DRAM, then it leaves only Samsung, MU, NEC and Toshiba in the DRAM game and they all support RDRAM. Strategically, this could be very positive news. Any comments? DO you follow my thinking?

Japanese suppliers back away from mainstream DRAM
By Jack Robertson

Electronic Buyers' News
(06/17/99, 11:16:36 AM EDT)

TOKYO — Three Japanese DRAM makers — Fujitsu, Hitachi, and Mitsubishi — are significantly reducing their exposure to the volatile PC-memory market and will try instead to sell memory into high-end computing, consumer electronics and communications applications, the companies said this week.

Weakened by years of downward pricing pressure in the commodity DRAM arena, the companies said they will concentrate their capital investments on the development of application-specific DRAMs for non-PC markets, and will foster a broader product focus that will include ASICs, flash memory, microcontrollers, microprocessors and other non-DRAM semiconductors.

Ryusuke Hoshikawa, executive vice president of Fujitsu Ltd.'s Semiconductor Group, said in an interview this week that he hoped PC-related DRAMs "would be cut 80 to 90 percent" during the current fiscal year ending March 31, 2000. He said the company is rapidly shifting to non-PC memory chips, which now comprise more than 50 percent of all Fujitsu DRAM sales.

As a result, the company's DRAM production bit rate will decline next year, he said. The decrease didn't bother Hoshikawa, even in the face of exploding bit growth from rapidly advancing tier-one DRAM companies like Micron Technology, Samsung Electronics and NEC.

Hideo Inayoshi, deputy general manager for strategic planning at Hitachi Ltd.'s Semiconductor and Integrated Circuits Division, said fewer than half of the company's DRAMs next year will be sold into desktop PCs. Hitachi's bit growth is expected to increase by little more than 25 percent, or significantly less than the 70 percent growth that has served as an historic industry average.

"We will focus on DRAMs and 256-megabyte modules for high-end applications, such as servers and workstations, and 128-megabit DRAMs for notebooks," Inayoshi said.

Mitsubishi Electric Corp. said that while it will remain in the PC market, it will use its position to advance into other areas such as servers, workstations and communications platforms, in addition to consumer electronics.

"[The PC] DRAM business is so risky, but DRAM technology is required in [system-level integration],” said Koichi Nagasawa, president of Mitsubishi's semiconductor group. "To stay in DRAMs, we need a certain amount of volume production." Mitsubishi hopes to achieve the necessary DRAM critical mass by shifting to consumer products like digital television, DVDs and electronic games.

Nagasawa also said he expects the use of embedded DRAM to growing rapidly in a wide range of consumer goods. Mitsubishi is counting heavily on its joint chip development program with Matsushita as a means to switch its DRAM focus away from the low-margin PC market. Nagasawa also said Mitsubishi will contribute embedded DRAM expertise that will be used by Matsushita in unspecified consumer electronics products.

In addition to diversifying into non-PC markets, the three Japanese chip makers are reigning in capital spending increases. In separate moves, the companies will stretch limited capital investment funds to upgrade existing fab lines to manufacture non-PC DRAMs.

Hitachi will hold its chip capital expenditures to about $580 million in the current fiscal year, roughly the same level as a year ago. Mitsubishi is planning about $375 million in new semiconductor capital spending this fiscal year, nearly unchanged from fiscal 1998. And Fujitsu is projecting a 30 percent decrease in spending this year to approximately $475 million.

The three companies will continue to outsource some of their DRAM production to offshore foundries as a major way to cut costs. According to Inayoshi, Hitachi is considering a resumption of DRAM outsourcing to LG Semicon, which is in the process of a merger with the chip division of Hyundai Electronics Industries Co. Ltd. LG had been a longtime DRAM contract manufacturer for Hitachi, supplying the company's customers with many as 2 million units a month. But outsourcing levels have "dropped to zero" as a result of the prolonged price pressure on the 8-Mbit x 8 PC100 and 66-MHz SDRAM that constitute a large portion of LG's production output, Inayoshi said.

Nagasawa said Mitsubishi will continue to outsource 45 percent to 50 percent of its total DRAM production to Powerchip Semiconductor Corp. of Taiwan. "We will transfer 0.18-micron process technology to Powerchip in the third quarter [of 1999]," he said.

Fujitsu's Hoshikawa, meanwhile, said his company will continue to outsource DRAM production, but he was not definite about which foundry Fujitsu would use. "We may need to make some changes," he said without elaborating. Fujitsu currently uses Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. as its principal foundry, and according to a number of industry sources has signed with Acer Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp., both of Taiwan.



To: Dave B who wrote (22842)6/17/1999 6:41:00 PM
From: MileHigh  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
 
Hyundai, LG Semicon to run separate DRAM lines through 2000
By Andrew MacLellan
Electronic Buyers' News
(06/16/99, 05:28:02 PM EDT)

SEOUL, South Korea — Hyundai Electronics Industries Co. Ltd.'s impending merger with LG Semicon Co. Ltd. will not begin to affect global DRAM supplies until the companies coalesce their manufacturing lines around a second-generation 256-Mbit DRAM, most likely beginning late in 2000.

When fully integrated, the Hyundai chip group will rank as one of the industry's top two or three DRAM makers, according to analyst reports. However, despite early anticipation that the merged company would help reduce global DRAM oversupply by shuttering redundant DRAM manufacturing lines, Soon Y. Hwang, director of Hyundai's merger communications office who is helping to oversee the $2.1 billion merger of the Korean chip makers, said the companies will maintain separate and distinct manufacturing processes for the foreseeable future. Hwang said the companies will work jointly to steer the venture into non-memory markets and the foundry services sector.

Over the next several months, the companies will determine which fab lines to upgrade to leading-edge processes, which to leave alone, and which to close. But this process is not expected to seriously affect near-term DRAM output at either company, Hwang said.

"Both companies already have economies of scale and efficiency levels," he said. "LG [manufactures DRAM for] Hitachi, and their process is different [from Hyundai's]. Unification is going to take time. I'm not sure it's going to be economical to connect LG's fabs immediately with Hyundai's products . . . But gradually we will sort out our product portfolio [according] to each fab."

Under the merger agreement, which was finalized last month, Hyundai Electronics in September will carve off its telecommunications, LCD, CRT monitor, and automotive semiconductor units into a separate subsidiary. The remaining chip business will be combined with LG Semicon. While a name has yet to be selected, the new IC group is likely to be called Hyundai Semiconductor, according to Hwang.

Hwang noted that the buyout has received approval from anti-trust regulators in the United States, and is expected to clear anti-trust channels in Europe, South America, and Taiwan by the end of June. Following the deal, Hyundai will own 59 percent of LG Semicon's shares, and will convert the remaining outstanding common stock to new issues.

Hyundai this year expects to generate total semiconductor revenue of $2.5 billion, with another $2 billion coming from LG. The merged company's target for 2000 is $6 billion.

More immediate common ground between the two companies appears to lie in the area of R&D, and particularly in Direct Rambus DRAM development, where LG has an edge on Hyundai. By running lines on Hyundai's more advanced process geometries, the companies could bring the technology to market more quickly than if each had pursued Direct RDRAM independently.

"Certainly, there is synergy with Rambus," Hwang said. "We will sort out the whole R&D road map together and evaluate the status. Then we will choose the best [technologies] together and allocate the extra engineers into new areas."

Combined, the new company will depend heavily on DRAM, but eventually will expand into non-DRAM markets as well. This includes further development of image sensor and MPU technologies already marketed by Hyundai.

Additionally, about 10 percent of LG's chip operations are dedicated to system-level ICs, Hwang said. "By combining the two companies we will have enough manufacturing muscle, but to rely on just DRAM means that we could get back into an oversupply situation, and this would get us into trouble again," Hwang said. "We need to reinforce our R&D resources . . . to shorten our product development cycles and diversify our product portfolio."

Hyundai will also move to expand its foundry services by establishing unspecified design centers in the Unites States and by building up its intellectual property (IP) portfolio. Hwang said that while Hyundai is not likely to measure up to the likes of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., United Microelectronics Corp., or Chartered Semiconductor Manufacturing, it will maintain a respectable second-tier foundry operation.

Saddled with what the financial community estimates to be $8 billion in combined debt, Hyundai said it will move to liquidate several remaining non-performing assets, including a Hyundai Electronics-owned power plant in Ichon. The company also plans to sell remaining shares in the Maxtor, GlobalStar, and Chip-Pac subsidiaries it divested last year. Additionally, Hyundai said it would welcome a variety of foreign investment sources.

But despite the technological, manufacturing, and financial pressures facing the new company, it's Hyundai's internal flame that needs fanning, according to Hwang.

"The biggest challenge is not the external environment; it comes out of our internal competitiveness and [Hyundai's ability] to be a technology leader," he said. "It's not about manufacturing muscle."

Another challenge will be to integrate the sales and marketing, technology development, and production teams of two companies that have been fierce rivals for years. Hwang said this is an area to which Hyundai has been especially attentive.

"The cultures of the Hyundai Group and the LG Group might be different, and there has been a little bit of hostility with the merger," he said. "But it's already an accepted thing, and we will work to minimize any conflicts. We will work with LG as an integration partner, not just as an acquisition."



To: Dave B who wrote (22842)6/17/1999 6:47:00 PM
From: MileHigh  Respond to of 93625
 
Hon Hai gets into thick of RIMM-connector competition
By Richard Richtmyer
Electronic Buyers' News
(06/15/99, 01:49:33 PM EDT)

Adding its name to the growing list of connector suppliers offering parts that support the Direct Rambus DRAM architecture, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. Ltd. is developing connectors for Rambus in-line memory modules (RIMMs).

Under an agreement signed with Rambus Inc., Mountain View, Calif., Taiwan-based Hon Hai will develop the RIMM connectors, as well as RIMM-continuity modules and module heat spreaders for Rambus memory systems.

“With the addition of Hon Hai, the availability of Rambus infrastructure components worldwide gets a big boost,” said Subodh Toprani, general manager and vice president of Rambus' industry-enabling division. “OEMs, no matter where they are, now have another source of supply for connectors.”

Hon Hai, which operates in the United States as Foxconn International Inc., Sunnyvale, Calif., last year ranked 11th in worldwide connector sales and first in sales in the Pacific Rim, according to Fleck Research Inc., Santa Ana, Calif. Hon Hai lists each of the top 10 PC and motherboard manufacturers among its customers, including Compaq, Hewlett-Packard, IBM, and Intel. About 70% of Hon Hai's 1998 connector sales of $632.5 million were for PCs.

With its agreement to manufacture the RIMM connectors, Hon Hai becomes the fourth major connector supplier preparing for a strong surge in demand for parts compliant with Rambus' memory-bus specifications. AMP, FCI Electronics Worldwide, and Molex have also ramped up into high-volume production after developing the products for about a year.

So far, the parts from AMP and Molex have passed Rambus' validation testing, which is designed to show whether they meet the impedance requirements that enable transmission of data on the 800-MHz Direct DRAM interface, with FCI expected to follow shortly.

Hon Hai, which had been developing its RIMM connectors for several months prior to signing the agreement with Rambus, expects to have its parts in full compliance with Rambus specifications before the end of the summer, and to be shipping the parts in volume by early fall, according to Jeff Pan, the company's RIMM connector product manager.

“Our plan is to ramp up and support about 300,000 per month by the end of July, and probably double that by the end of August,” Pan said. “We expect, probably starting in September, that the volume will be up much more significantly. After we pass the validation testing, I believe we need about two months to allow our customers to try them out and to use our products to test their designs.”

Once the company completes the validation process, it plans to shift the bulk of its RIMM-connector manufacturing to its facilities in China, Pan said.

Neither Hon Hai nor any of the other suppliers currently tooling up for mass production of RIMM connectors have expressed concerns or backed off from manufacturing plans because of Intel Corp.'s delayed launch of its Camino chipset. AMP, for example, already has the capacity in place to produce 800,000 parts per month, and plans to boost that to 1.5 million per month by September.