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Strategies & Market Trends : DAYTRADING Fundamentals -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JavaAdict who wrote (1029)6/19/1999 1:04:00 AM
From: Tae Spam Kim  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18137
 
It's no mere coincidence that SI is now linked up with Datek. As Paul Allen now owns significant stakes in Go2Net (which owns SI) and Datek.

Allen has long wanted to build out a nice financial portal site for his cable systems, which Datek and SI will be parts of.

Don't blame SI for the Datek link, we'll see more of Datek to come (for better or for worse) with the Allen connection.



To: JavaAdict who wrote (1029)6/19/1999 2:42:00 AM
From: Teresa Lo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18137
 
Well, the first thing to understand is the stock price is a function of supply and demand. Period. A stock that has nice fundamentals attracts buyers. A stock that has a small public float and good promoters finds buyers. As an example, look at most internet stocks. People are captivated by the potential of the stocks. They forget the another reason they have gone up like a rocket is that there is only a tiny amount of the total stock that has been issued is in public hands. So extreme demand + small supply = amazing prices.

I can't comment on the stock freeze thing since I don't trade Nasdaq stocks. In my experience, most stocks that are halted for investigations come back dead (if at all) since where there's smoke there's usually fire.

As for stocks going down on great reports, you have to look to see if there was already a huge run up to the report. If everyone has already purchased on anticipation of good news, thinking that people will buy when the news is released and the stock might pop for them to sell into, there's no way the stock can go up unless the news is *unexpectedly* good, since the buyers are exhausted. You can use the same logic for beaten up stocks to actually go up on good news, since everyone has already sold in order to avoid being there when the announcement comes. In general, only surprise good or bad news moves the market.

As for the questions on fundamental analysis, all I can say is that analysts play games with their numbers, the same way technical indicators say, "it's close". I don't use either approach, and I'll defer to someone else on the questions regarding EPS, etc., because that's not my expertise. My only comment in general is that P/E are higher in a good market, and lower in a bad one.

Hope this helps.



To: JavaAdict who wrote (1029)6/19/1999 3:41:00 AM
From: -  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 18137
 
re: the best way to build $5K into $50K in the market...

JavaAddict, I'd encourage you to find another way to spend your time and trading capital (I believe you mentioned $5K; but this really applies even if it's $20 or $25K), besides trading those small-caps while following chat room hypes and recommendations. Really, if you look at the odds of success over time with that kind of so-called "trading" (which is really not what it is), it's pretty low. If you are going to be our "star" trader on Oprah, Springer, etc. then you're going to have to find a better technique!

Seriously, it doesn't work. It would take at least a chapter, if not a book, to explain all the pitfalls, all the reasons why. The odds against success, trading stocks with $5K-$25K by working the chat rooms, are overwhelming. I get the sense you're too smart for that, and there are smarter ways to build your capital, and still have some fun.

If you want to trade with $5k-$25k (and you want some trading "action"), one idea I'd suggest [hold the tomatoes] is to learn how to carefully, systematically daytrade some of the less volatile futures contracts, like corn, wheat, or maybe the long-Bond contract (I hate to suggest it, but maybe the E-Mini should be looked at too; but it's one of the trickier contracts to trade). As an example of the type of trading I'd recommend, they will be trading the E-Mini over in the intelligent speculator chatroom for the next 2-4 weeks using very systematic, well-defined setups with a disciplined stop-loss methodology; you could go watch that trading live, to get the idea of what I'm talking about. But, I would recommend something tamer than the E-Mini in order to further reduce your risk. I would also caution you to day-trade any futures contract for AT LEAST 3 months before using live bullets, and NEVER carry a futures contract overnight. The leverage is incredible - they put stock options to shame. Most people lose their money with futures because they either don't have the basic trading skills (which as we all know, can be hard to come by), or they get to gambling with their positions, but the "real" traders in the futures markets can and do make money consistently with those contracts (guess where it comes from?).

It takes much less capital to trade the futures, that's why there's so many people trading them (and day-trading margins are much lower than overnight margins). BUT, you have to either know a lot, have a mentor, or (preferably) both. AND be really disciplined with your stops. But, if you approach it intelligently in a disciplined fashion, you can make a decent return and build up your capital base. You really need $50k or more as a starting point to build your capital up by day-trading stocks. Below that, either futures, or consider position trading QUALITY stocks below $10. But, the stock route is very difficult without more capital.

Also, there are many BUSINESSES you can start with $5K, which can quickly get you $50K. The odds are vastly, vastly better of getting there. With your website development skills and $5K, you could be rolling in dough in 1-2 years... just a thought. One thing to think about, most of the people on this thread trading, built their trading funds through developing a business. Or (usually more painfully), by drawing a salary and saving for a long, long time. And, by being older ;))

Hope that doesn't sound too preachy, not intended that way. Just some food for thought.

Intelligent Speculator, we will expect to see this guy on Oprah ;)...
which is appropriate, her broadcast studio is less than a mile from the CME pit...

-Steve



To: JavaAdict who wrote (1029)6/19/1999 2:48:00 PM
From: Paul Viapiano  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18137
 
<<<On another thread, was suggested to short a ticker, GCDV. If you care to take the time, I have pasted the posts here. If what they are saying is true, about the company having no real business or financial foundation, what is holding the stock up?>>>

------------------------------------------------------

There are many threads here on SI that are the exclusive dominion of unethical short sellers. I have been in many stocks that they have attacked with insider selling reports, various SEC docs, convertible warnings, etc, etc, ad nauseum.

Last month I had a position in ASTN. They literally blanketed the board with warnings of "bottomless convertibles" using terms like "death spirals" and such. It got real ugly.

Well, fundamentally or whatever, maybe those things existed but the chart said "higher". The whole time they were supposedly short the stock went from 9 3/4 to 18. Now it is back in the 9 range. So the longs were happy (I was real happy)and the shorts got some too (or at least they got even).

Don't rely on other posters for your information. There are many hidden agendas among SI members. Do your own homework and DD and you'll be better off. If you get a tip or hear of a stock through someone, call up the chart, do your TA, check out the filings, do the ratios, etc....and come to your own conclusion.

You are the only captain of your ship.

Paul