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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: chaz who wrote (2829)6/20/1999 5:32:00 PM
From: Mike McFarland  Respond to of 54805
 
Mike: Have you READ "The Gorilla Game"?
No, but I'm going to use my buybooks $10 cupon
to get it. Love freebies.

1. Is Microsoft going to go away anytime soon?
If the PC gaming platform loses to upcoming consoles,
AND Corel, Sun Micro, Red Hat, IBM and the others
put their heads together...it is possible. But I would
not bet against Microsoft, not anymore. I broke even
with MSFT puts a year or two ago, woke up, and walked
away.

2. Does the investor price stock based on the present
value of future free cash, or something else?

dunno...everybody has a different game I suppose. My
stuff--small cap biotech--trades based on R&D, for
instance, I have an otc:bb stock, CNSI, it has a marketcap
which is less than the commitment that Bayer has made to
them for the development of a neurobiological growth factor.
In biotechland, that is a good value.

3. Would you prefer one stock that was going up 2x next year,
or 10, one of whom might go up 2x?

I don't buy anything that does not have the potential to
go up 3x in the next year. I intend to sell half my shares
in each when the time is right, and keep the rest for ten-bagger
potential. I have a handful of stocks, because I expect
a couple to be ten-baggers, a couple to triple, and
a couple will fail. If I am careful about letting profits
run, and willing to get stopped out if I screw up, then
this might work okay. Unfortunately, very hard to keep
to to the rules: I should have been stopped out in Ariad
(ARIA) by now, but I've become attached to the company,
very bad.

All that said, recently I am starting to look toward higher
quality stocks--the so-called second tier of biotech.
That is probably a better place to look for potential
Gorilla's. And I would not be on this thread if I did
not have serious doubts about my investments. I just
want to puke when I hear folks carrying on about how
well they've done, while I'm only up a bit for the
year.

The folks at my workplace will come talk to me about
their MSFT, or their Cisco etc etc. One fella has
the dogs of the dow, another an S&P index fund. And
another just started a brokerage account in which
to trade AMZN. I have a hard time accepting that
these people are right--I've always thought I was
more clever than the folks I happen to work with.
But these guys, mostly, are laughing at me.