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To: Alex who wrote (35656)6/21/1999 5:41:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116823
 
Exploration spending undermined

By Sean Aylmer

The Australian mining sector sank further into trouble
during the March quarter with a seventh successive fall in
exploration expenditure, led by a drop in spending on
gold seeking, which fell to its lowest point since 1993.

Exploration spending has fallen so low that the long-term
viability of many companies in the mining industry is
coming under question.

The drop in demand and falling prices of commodities,
triggered by the Asian crisis, has meant cuts in
exploration budgets. Adding to the woes in the local
industry are concerns surrounding the native title issue in
Australia, a stronger local dollar and relatively attractive
opportunities overseas.

Minerals Council of Australia chief executive, Mr Dick
Wells, said lower commodity prices alongside a rising
Australia dollar had meant less exploration.

"Companies have to cut expenditure where they can and
one area of discretionary spending is exploration. But in
the long term they need to explore to survive. [The
actions] are understandable but if it continues for much
longer it will harm the viability of the industry."

Much exploration is viewed as a short-term investment,
depending on the cash flow of a company. Since 1997,
cash flow in many companies has dried up following the
onset of the Asian crisis.

During the first three months of 1999, total exploration
expenditure dropped by 17 per cent to $193 million and
was 40 per cent below two years ago, according to the
Australian Bureau of Statistics. Gold, diamonds, uranium
and iron ore led the fall.

Gold dominates mineral exploration expenditure in
Australia, but quarterly spending during the March
quarter fell to $98 million, less than half the level of two
years earlier.

The gold industry has suffered during the past two years,
in part because central banks have sold gold reserves.
The decision in May by the Bank of England to sell 415
tonnes of gold pushed prices even lower, to an average
of $US277 an ounce during the month - the lowest price
in 20 years.

However, there are some positive signs with increased
economic growth expected in key consumer markets
including India, Europe, the Middle East and Asia.

Commodities provide around $65 billion each year in
export income to the Australian economy, almost three
times the level of farm exports, underpinning the
Australian economy. Commodity prices also provide a
guide for the local dollar.

Dresdner Kleinwort Benson chief economist, Mr Rob
Henderson, said over half the mining companies he has
spoken to in recent months have been concerned about
exploration.

Low prices, excess supply in some sectors and external
factors such as the native title debate are the main
concerns.

Mr Henderson said miners were looking to use current
exploration sites better, rather than looking for new
mineral deposits.

"And they are looking offshore in places like Africa, Asia
and South America. That's a potential negative, not
necessarily for the companies, but for Australian
exports."

He said the native title issue was harming longer term
decisions, though some companies were bypassing
government, negotiating directly with Aboriginal
Australians.

"They are talking directly to traditional owners and are
more progessive in terms of providing [incentives in terms
of] equity, schools, training and better infrastructure. I'm
very encouraged by that," Mr Henderson said.

afr.com.au