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Strategies & Market Trends : Currencies and the Global Capital Markets -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Henry Volquardsen who wrote (1874)6/23/1999 5:35:00 PM
From: X Y Zebra  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3536
 
Amén.....brother Henry....

btw, where is the consecrating wine ?

hic!



To: Henry Volquardsen who wrote (1874)6/23/1999 10:50:00 PM
From: Chip McVickar  Respond to of 3536
 
Very Well Put!
Statement has a lot of Truth in it!



To: Henry Volquardsen who wrote (1874)6/24/1999 12:25:00 PM
From: Chip McVickar  Respond to of 3536
 
Interesting Developement...

Talk : Market Trends : "IDEA OF THE DAY"-Trading in&out for profits.

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To: gerard mangiardi (27182 )
From: IQBAL LATIF Thursday, Jun 24 1999 11:04AM ET
Reply # of 27189

U.K. Policy-Makers Hint They Could Ease Again
Date: 6/24/99

The Bank of England opened the door to another interest rate cut in July, its June meeting minutes show. Policy-makers voted 8-1 to cut rates by a quarter-point to 5% on June 10, citing the pound's strength. They also noted slowing wage gains and falling inflation. With the pound still strong, analysts say the BOE could cut rates again, but probably won't. The economy seems to be on the mend, and the repo rate is at a 22-year low. Still, the pound fell on the news.

Germany's Cabinet OKs Big 2000 Spending Cuts

Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder's cabinet approved $15.9 billion in budget cuts. The plan includes tax cuts for business, fewer industrial subsidies and lower social spending. Fuel taxes would rise. The government hopes to boost the sluggish economy, reduce unemployment and stabilize the euro. Analysts say the net impact would be positive, but not by much. The plan may face opposition in parliament.

West German Sentiment Is Stabilizing, Ifo Says

The Ifo Institute said current sentiment stopped tanking in May for the first time since March 1998. The index of current conditions among West German manufacturers fell marginally to 14.1 from 14 in April. Expectations rose to their highest level since August.

Asia's 'Feds' Intervene To Weaken Currencies

With Asia on the road to recovery, currencies are rising, and central banks don't like that. Domestic demand remains weak, so Asia is relying on exports. Japan has intervened heavily several times recently to weaken the yen against the dollar and the euro to keep exports competitive. Korea's central bank is also intervening to keep the won from rising. Thailand isn't stepping in yet, but is jawboning the market. Analysts say these moves show countries are trying to steal growth from each other.

Japan: Asia Recovering On A Slower Growth Path

Asian economies are on track for a gradual recovery this year, but slower investment and productivity gains will prevent a return to the rocketing pre-crisis growth rates, Japan's Economic Planning Agency said. Southeast Asian nations should grow 5% to 6% a year over the next decade, vs. 7.3% from 1987 to 1997. As Japan recovers, it's buying more from Asia. But that may not last, an EPA official warned.

Argentina Wants To Talk Dollar Treaty Formally

Argentina asked the U.S. for formal talks on a treaty to make the dollar its currency. Argentina now has a currency board with a 1-to-1 peso-dollar rate, but devaluation fears still exist. It could adopt the dollar by itself. But a treaty would give it a cut of the U.S.' profits from printing dollars, as well as access to the Fed's discount window. The U.S. doesn't like the idea.

Italy Vague On Pensions Due To Union Pressure

After meeting with unions, Italian Prime Minister Massimo D'Alema said his 2000 to 2003 economic plan will contain no specific measures to lower the budget deficit. He still seeks to cut the deficit- to-GDP ratio to 1.5% in 2000. But unions signaled they'd fight any pension cuts. Meanwhile, the IMF urged Italy to make ''every effort'' to meet its original 1999 deficit target of 2%, not the more recent 2.4% forecast.




To: Henry Volquardsen who wrote (1874)6/24/1999 12:33:00 PM
From: Chip McVickar  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3536
 
This one also....

Talk : Puts/Calls : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: GROUND ZERO (40989 )
From: bearshark Thursday, Jun 24 1999 12:23PM ET
Reply # of 40999

GZ: All of this you are aware of but I thought I would share my thoughts. In reading the FOMC minutes over the last several years, it is clear that they have been increasing their focus on world finance. I read Iqbal's post on the Idea thread also. Without going back to find the Fed document, I will rephrase some parts I remember. The Fed intends to work with other countries' central banks in an attempt "to manage" world finances. They can do this with interest rates or the value of the currency. A country's rates and currency can be tied together and may have an inverse relationship.

In the past when the Fed was pressed to weaken the U. S. economy, I noticed that the U. S. dollar would strengthen. It is nothing new for countries to work together to manage the value of their currencies to affect world trade. Sometimes it even works. So, I assume there is an international effort among central bankers to raise the value of the dollar to slow U. S. exports, lower the value of their currencies to increase their exports to stir their economies, lower their own interest rates to stir their domestic consumption, and provide the U. S. Fed with the option of raising rates in a token amount. Let's see if the U. S. dollar moves above 130 yen in the coming months.

A selfless world society may keep this working. As I noted earlier, sometimes this works.