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Technology Stocks : Safeguard Scientifics SFE -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: llwk7051@aol.com who wrote (3137)6/23/1999 7:34:00 PM
From: still learning  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4467
 
My best guess is we're stuck in a range for a little while.

In support of the upward thrust notion: in ICGE and USI we're not just talking about rights here -- these are two of its best inet co's coming public. Not that this overshadows mp's points re NAV vs premium, but I would expect ICGE and USI to both be short-term home-runs. Remember when an IPO up 50% was huge? ICGE could be raised to $18-20 open and double quite easily. It will not get to $50 on day one, I don't think. Orthey could leave it at $8 to make it one ifthe most spectacular IPOs of recent memory (still $40 range)

What does everyone think the combined mkt cap of ICGE and USI *should* be?

I think, if anything MP was a bit high since I figure $50 shr=$6B in mkt cap. I think $4-5B is closer to reality, which puts the share price at closer to $40, and SFE's NAV at $720. Still that's a doubling of NAV, practically -- from $900 mm to $1.7 or more.

USI should come out at -- who knows? Still, we will be in the neighborhood of $1.8 B NAV, which works out to $53 NAV. Add in a premium for rights offerings and pipeline, and we should be in the $60-70 range, which is about where we are. That said, psychology will play a big role.

SFE also has $200 mm in cash they just raised, so the pipeline could become larger, the rts could become more valuable...