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Politics : Idea Of The Day -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (27204)6/25/1999 4:11:00 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
Glut of New Net Funds Headed to Market
By Danny Hakim

RYAN JACOB managed the Internet Fund (WWWFX) to a 486% gain since he took over at the end of 1997. Now he plans to leave the helm of the best performing mutual fund of the past 52 weeks to start a Net investment company of his own.

He'll need more luck, because the tentatively titled Jacob Asset Management will have plenty of competition. In the past seven months, three new funds have joined the original trio of Internet-focused funds that launched in 1996, and registration statements for nine more have been filed with the Security and Exchange Commission. The best performing retail fund of this year, Amerindo Technology (ATCHX), has transformed itself into an Internet-focused fund, and online broker E*Trade (EGRP) has also said that it is considering starting a fund to track an Internet index.

This glut of competition will be a novelty for the original trio of Net funds, which were started by firms few had heard of: Munder Capital, a mid-sized Michigan fund manager; WWW Advisors, a tiny Kentucky company that only runs its Internet fund; and Kinetics Asset Management, the adviser of the Internet Fund which make its headquarters in the house of a retired Long Island postal worker.

How to Play the Internet? Count the Ways...

FUND YTD EXP RATIO* LOAD
The Original Three
The Internet Fund 97.30% 3.08% NONE
WWW Internet 31.10 2.50 NONE
Munder NetNet 48.10 1.48 5.50
New Net Funds
Monument Internet 82.90 1.90 4.75
Unified Select Internet N/A 0.35 NONE
Analysts Internet.fund N/A 3 NONE
On the Drawing Board
FBR Technology N/A 1.95 NONE
Stein Roe Internet N/A N/A N/A
ING Internet N/A 1.59 5.75
LCM Internet Growth** N/A 2.50 NONE
BGI Dow Jones Internet*** N/A N/A N/A
Enterprise Internet N/A 1.90 4.75
Internet 100 N/A 1.75 NONE
Internet 100 Equity N/A 1.75 NONE
Guinness Flight Index**** N/A N/A N/A
De Facto Internet Funds*****
Amerindo Technology 102.90 2.25 NONE
Performance data through 6/23/99
*Not all SEC fund filings have full expense details listed.
**Closed-end fund.
***The Barclays Global Investors fund will be open-ended but trade like a stock.
****Investec Guinness Flight has filed a registation statement for an Internet fund, but is still negotiating for the rights to the ISDEX Internet index with its owner, Internet.com.
*****Tech funds over 50% invested in Internet stocks.
Source: SEC filings, Morningstar

None of the trio caught on until Jacob took over the Internet Fund and shifted the fund's assets, less than $200,000, from broad tech stocks like Microsoft (MSFT) to "pure" Internet plays like Yahoo! (YHOO). The fund gained 196% in 1998 and 97.3% so far this year, well ahead of rivals Munder NetNet (MNNAX) and WWW Internet (WWIFX).

After July 2, Jacob will no longer be running the fund, which now has $654 million in assets. He resigned after Kinetics' deal to sell the fund to Lepercq, de Neuflize, a Manhattan firm, fell through. Jacob will be joined in his new venture by the Internet Fund's current analyst, Michael Dubrow, a former vice president at Merrill Lynch. The new firm will launch both retail and institutional Internet investment products.

"I was deeply disappointed that the transaction between Kinetics and Lepercq was not consummated," says Jacob. "There were a number of issues but there's not a whole lot I can say. They tried to convince me to stay but I felt that it was best to separate myself from the situation as much as possible."

During Jacob's tenure, the biggest mutual fund firms -- Fidelity and Vanguard -- dismissed the Internet as too narrow a sector for a mutual fund. Other established firms apparently feel differently. Take fund manager David Alger. His company, Fred Alger Management, was named one of the top five fund families of last year by SmartMoney, and Alger helped himself by making big bets on Internet stocks like Amazon.com (AMZN) and America Online (AOL). (See story.) Now he's decided to manage his first sector fund in conjunction with Enterprise Capital Management of Atlanta.

Stein Roe, which has $8 billion worth of mutual fund assets, also plans to launch a Net fund, as does ING Funds, a branch of Dutch bank ING Group. So does the Chicago-based LaSalle St. Capital Markets, which plans to launch the first closed-end mutual fund to focus on Internet stocks. All of these funds are in their SEC registration phase and likely to open in the next few months.

Meanwhile, several other companies are vying to launch the first Internet index fund. An upstart firm in Arlington, Va., Internet 100 Advisors, plans to launch two mutual funds that track their own Net index. Barclays Global Investors, the world's second largest money manager with $691 billion in assets, plans to launch a fund that tracks the Dow Jones Internet Index early next year. And Web portal Internet.com is working on a deal to start a fund tracking its ISDEX index, one of the oldest indexes of Internet stocks.

So what does all this mean for investors? More choice. More confusion. There will be funds that invest in only Internet stocks, funds that call themselves Internet funds but aren't much different from general technology funds, funds that have managers with years of experience and funds that have freshly scrubbed first-timers. For index investors, will it be Dow Jones Internet, Internet 100 or ISDEX? E*Trade even says it's considering a fund that will track a subindex of the Goldman Sachs Technology Index.

At least there will be some much needed pricing pressure. The recently opened, no-load Unified Select Internet (sorry, no snapshot available) has a 0.35% expense ratio, an annual management and marketing fee deducted in daily increments from an investor's assets. Compare that to the Internet Fund, which has the highest expense ratio of the group, 3.08%, following a recent price hike. That's a sizable price gap. The difference between the two funds represents a savings of 2.73% of an investor's assets per year, and all the money that would've been earned from those assets. And then there are all the Net funds that pile sales loads on top of their expense ratios.

Whether Unified Select Internet will have returns in the Internet Fund's ballpark is another matter. Then again, many Internet Fund investors wonder if their fund will be able to match its previous performance without Jacob. So we asked him. "I'm a portfolio manager until the end of next week," he said. "After that, it's out of my control."

* * * * *
The fund-management firm Reich & Tang has dropped out of the deal to launch a fund that tracks the 50-stock ISDEX Internet index. As we reported previously, Internet.com, the Internet portal that owns rights to the index, is looking for a deal to sell exclusive rights to the ISDEX. Reich & Tang, which already filed a registration statement for an "Internet.com Index Fund," declined to explain its decision. Now the bidding is down to the fund firm Investec Guinness Flight, which has also filed with the SEC to launch its own version of an ISDEX fund, and a third firm, according to Internet.com CEO Alan Meckler. We'll let you know what happens.




To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (27204)6/25/1999 4:16:00 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
Frontier, Global Crossing, Qwest, U S West
SYM LAST PRICE P/E 52-WK HI 52-WK LO NET CHG. % CHG.
(FRO) 59.88 49.0 60.37 24.00 0.00 0.00
(GBLX) 45.94 0.0 64.25 8.00 0.06 0.13
(QWST) 33.06 0.0 52.37 11.00 0.50 1.54
(USW) 57.56 18.0 66.00 46.81 -0.44 -0.76
Quote As Of 1999/6/24 5:01PM
The jury is still out whether Global Crossing or Qwest Communications will win the battle for U S West and Frontier.
Either way, though, Qwest's stock is bound to recover ground, according to Danny Zito and Danny Wilson at Legg Mason Wood Walker. They upgraded the shares of Qwest to Outperform from Market Perform and slapped a 12-month price target of $40 on the stock. The news sparked the stock higher Thursday.

Qwest shares have tumbled around 27% since it launched a hostile bid for Frontier and U S West, which have already agreed to merge with upstart Global Crossing. On Wednesday, Qwest raised its bid to $47 billion from $43 billion. The analysts think that there's a chance that Global Crossing could return with a higher offer and keep the bidding war going.

At this point, Qwest's new bid improves its chances of winning U S West and Frontier, the analysts said. If Qwest succeeds, the shares are likely to move up as investors realize the benefits of the deal. "[The] acquisitions of USW and FRO would enhance QWST's strategic position and improve its ability to create long-term economic value through greater network utilization, a lower cost structure and access to a lower cost of capital," the analysts said. In turn, the additions of Frontier and U S West would enhance Qwest's attractiveness as a takeover target, they said.

If the bid fails, though, relieved investors will probably return to the stock and push it higher. Still, the analysts figure that until the battle is over, the shares are likely to be under the gun. KM

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CompUSA (CPU)
NEWS LAST PRICE P/E 52-WK HI 52-WK LO NET CHG. % CHG.
7.69 0.0 21.75 5.56 -0.50 -6.11
Quote As Of 1999/6/24 4:01PM
Shares of the electronics retailer fell more than 6% Thursday after it said it would revamp its business strategy in hopes of boosting gross margins, reducing costs and improving customer service.
CompUSA's new initiatives, which include layoffs and the shuttering of many of its stores, will mean it will record $40 million to $50 million, or 43 to 54 cents a share, in after-tax, non-recurring charges. The bulk of the charges will be taken in the fourth quarter, which ends Saturday, with the remainder recorded in the first two quarters of next year. Analysts expect the company to report operating losses of 23 cents a share in the fourth quarter and three cents for the year.

Analyst George Sutton at Dain Rauscher Wessels said that the company has not given the Street any different earnings guidance yet and that the news wasn't very exciting. "The announcement was a little disappointing because there was nothing significant in it, in terms of major changes," Sutton says. "The bullish camp is looking for more changes."

CompUSA continues to suffer as more consumers buy PCs directly from PC makers such as Dell Computer and Gateway. In an attempt to increase gross margins, CompUSA said it will update its superstore concept to respond to the rapid changes in the industry. For example, the company is testing individually staffed custom PC centers in the stores that highlight specific build-to-order products. Interestingly enough, Gateway has already done this with its Country stores where customers can test drive a PC before ordering one direct.

CompUSA also said it will shift its merchandise to focus on hand-held technology products, PC and console games like Sony, Nintendo and Sega, interactive toys, digital products such as DVD movies and equipment like digital cameras and camcorders. "These changes will allow us to reduce our dependence on low-margin desktop personal computers while maintaining our position as a technology leader," the company said in a press release.

To reduce operating costs, CompUSA also plans to consolidate its shipments for its direct-sales customers, changing to a single-source distribution model. Now, business, government and education customers receive their shipments from stores and other distribution centers. It will also select a distribution partner for its direct-sales product fulfillment. The company also expects to cut 1,000 to 1,500 jobs and streamline its training services. It will also close four stores in the near future. Another five to 10 under-performing locations could be closed as well.

Sutton said that the company could have opted to close more than four stores. "Our guess would be there are more unprofitable stores than that," he says.

Rumors recently re-emerged that CompUSA could be acquired by Staples (SPLS). The June 21 issue of Business Week quotes a money manager who pegged CompUSA as being worth $16 a share in a buyout. Such rumors have bounced around for several months now. While an acquisition is always a possibility, Sutton says he hasn't heard any firm plans yet. Still, this company's announcement Thursday could be viewed as a sign that the company aims to tough it out alone. MR

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Internet
SYM LAST PRICE P/E 52-WK HI 52-WK LO NET CHG. % CHG.
(CMGI) 96.50 0.0 165.00 8.62 -2.44 -2.47
(CNET) 49.94 0.0 79.75 7.25 -2.63 -5.00
(DCLK) 81.69 0.0 176.00 6.75 -3.25 -3.83
(EBAY) 142.13 0.0 234.00 8.43 -4.31 -2.94
(GNET) 139.38 0.0 199.00 6.50 -6.63 -4.54
(SEEK) 46.19 0.0 100.00 14.87 -1.06 -2.24
(LCOS) 95.44 0.0 145.37 20.06 1.94 2.07
(PCLN) 102.00 0.0 165.00 58.00 -8.88 -8.01
(TGLO) 17.63 0.0 48.50 12.68 1.63 10.19
(YHOO) 151.00 0.0 244.00 29.50 -4.50 -2.89
Quote As Of 1999/6/24 4:01PM
It was a mixed day for e-stocks, as inflation fears deflated some stocks, while praise and acquisition rumors boosted others.
TheGlobe.com turned higher on praise from All-Star Analyst Alan Braverman of Banc of America Securities. Shares of the online community have been in the dark since hitting a new low on June 15. But on Thursday, the stock surged on unusually heavy volume after Braverman suggested that the recent selloff is a good buying opportunity. In a quarterly earnings preview, Braverman said he was comfortable with his estimate of a loss of 33 cents a share for the second quarter, which ends next week. He also reiterated his Buy rating on the stock.

After shedding 13% in the last two days, shares of DoubleClick continued to stumble. The stock was tripped up by speculation that it could lose AltaVista's business, which accounts for 46% of its revenue. Bullish analysts at CE Unterberg Towbin and Pacific Crest Securities (who both have Strong Buy ratings on the stock) rushed to DoubleClick's defense Thursday, to no avail. CS

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Covance, Parexel International
SYM LAST PRICE P/E 52-WK HI 52-WK LO NET CHG. % CHG.
(CVD) 21.56 22.0 32.87 19.43 1.75 8.83
(PRXL) 16.94 25.0 45.50 15.43 -4.56 -21.21
Quote As Of 1999/6/24 4:03PM
Shares of the contract medical research companies went their separate ways on rumors that their $800 million merger could fall apart.
A few analysts reportedly speculate that Parexel's earnings may not be up to par with Covance's expectations. Back in October, Parexel told analysts to lower their 1999 earnings forecasts because its clinical trial business was slowing down. Other analysts thought that there may be some regulatory hurdles to overcome.

Based on their current price, Parexel's shares trade at a 32% discount to Covance's takeover bid announced in April. Covance offered to exchange 1.184 of its shares, representing a takeover bid for Parexel of $25.086 a share. KM

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Omnipoint, VoiceStream Wireless
SYM LAST PRICE P/E 52-WK HI 52-WK LO NET CHG. % CHG.
(OMPT) 28.75 0.0 29.75 4.62 7.94 38.15
(VSTR) 28.50 0.0 34.25 16.37 -1.00 -3.39
Quote As Of 1999/6/24 4:01PM
Omnipoint shares leapt as much as 42% Thursday after VoiceStream Wireless agreed to buy its smaller wireless rival for about $1.7 billion. The combined company, which will be one of the world's largest licensees employing the GSM (Global System for Mobile Communications) standard, will provide cellular phone services to about 175 million customers in 17 of the nation's top 25 markets.
After the bell Wednesday, VoiceStream said it will exchange 0.825 of its shares and $8 in cash for each share of Omnipoint. The deal values each Omnipoint share at $32.33, which represents a 55% premium to Omnipoint's closing price Wednesday. VoiceStream will also invest $150 million in Omnipoint before the merger is closed.

Analysts who were bullish about VoiceStream are even more delighted about the merged entity. Eric Weinstein at Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette upped his rating on VoiceStream shares to Top Pick from Buy, while Salomon Smith Barney analyst Thomas Lee reiterated his Buy rating.

"This is the first step to a nationwide GSM operating company...by consolidating the GSM carriers, we believe VoiceStream can create value," said Christopher Larsen at Prudential Securities, who reiterated his Strong Buy rating on the news. Hearty subscriber growth, new licenses and a strong management team are just a few of the catalysts generating excitement about VoiceStream, adds the analyst.

But VoiceStream is vulnerable to the risks inherent to all wireless companies, cautions Larsen. Wireless competition could drive down prices, and regulatory rulings could adversely impact its business. As a startup, VoiceStream will also require more capital to build out its networks. RT

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CyberSource (CYBS), QuePasa!com (PASA), Software.com (SWCM)
Three more Internet IPOs grabbed investors' attention, but didn't come close to Wednesday's gain in the IPO of Ariba (ARBA), whose shares quadrupled from their offering price.

Software.com, maker of Internet messaging software, opened at 22 5/8, but fell on heavy trading to close at 18 1/16 -- just 20% above above its offering price. The IPO's lead underwriter, Credit Suisse First Boston, priced its 6 million share offering (a 15% stake) at $15 -- well above its anticipated range of $10 to $12. Customers for Software.com's email system include AT&T WorldNet (a subsidiary of AT&T (T)), Excite At Home (ATHM), RoadRunner and PSINet (PSIX). Last year the company lost $7.4 million on revenue of $25.6 million. AT&T Ventures and Hewlett-Packard (HWP) are minority investors.

Beyond.com (BYND) spun off its e-commerce processing business, CyberSource, and investors rushed in. CyberSource shares hit a high of 18 in early trading before closing at 13 9/16 -- only 23% above their offering price. CyberSource floated 4 million shares (a 19% stake), priced at $11 a pop. Lead manager Merrill Lynch priced the new shares above their anticipated range of $8 to $10. CyberSource processes payments, figures taxes and prevents fraud for e-commerce companies. Clients include Compaq Computer (CPQ) and Egghead.com (EGGS). Last year the company lost $10 million on revenue of $3.4 million.

QuePasa!com brought in the biggest gain today. The Spanish-language portal priced its 4 million share offering (a 29% stake) at $12 each, the top of its anticipated range. In trading, shares climbed as high as 21 3/8 before closing at 17 1/8 -- up 43% overall. Aiming at the U.S. Hispanic market, QuePasa!com faces competition from StarMedia (STRM), which is the dominant Latin American portal. Last year the company lost $6.5 million on no significant revenue. In its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, QuePasa!com says it is still in the development phase, but plans to earn revenue through advertising and hosting e-commerce vendors. CS

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PCs
SYM LAST PRICE P/E 52-WK HI 52-WK LO NET CHG. % CHG.
(AAPL) 42.31 16.0 50.00 27.31 -1.38 -3.16
(CPQ) 22.69 55.0 51.25 20.00 -0.75 -3.20
(DELL) 38.13 50.0 55.00 20.37 -0.19 -0.50
(GTW) 62.63 23.0 84.50 36.12 -2.00 -3.09
(HWP) 90.88 25.0 97.56 47.06 -2.06 -2.22
(IBM) 122.56 32.0 127.75 55.00 -0.38 -0.31
Quote As Of 1999/6/24 4:01PM

Compaq Computer confirmed Thursday that it's in talks to sell a controlling interest in its AltaVista Internet search engine to Internet fund company CMGI (CMGI). Rumors about a possible $2 billion to $3 billion stock deal started swirling around the Street earlier in the week. (See story.) Compaq said its discussions include creating a strategic relationship between itself and CMGI to advance its Internet strategy.

"The discussions are in a preliminary stage and there can be no assurance that a transaction will be consummated," the PC maker said in a press release. "Compaq does not plan to make any further public announcements with respect to this possible transaction unless and until a definitive agreement is reached."

Analysts are mixed on whether a deal will actually occur. ING Baring Furman Selz analyst Robert Cihra says he thinks it's fairly likely Compaq will sell a majority stake in AltaVista to CMGI, and that it's a positive move for the PC maker. First, he explains, the type of valuation being bandied about is the amount Compaq was hoping to raise in an IPO of the Internet search engine. Another benefit is that Compaq would be able to remove the operating expenses associated with AltaVista off its books.

SG Cowen Securities analyst Richard Chu says he expects to hear something definitive in the next several days regarding the deal, but he's still unsure whether it will go through. "I think there are a lot of questions and not a lot of answers right now," he says.

Salomon Smith Barney's Richard Gardner agrees. The analyst said in a note Thursday that a $2 billion to $3 billion deal between Compaq and CMGI seemed unlikely, "given that CMGI is essentially a venture capital company and not an operating company." Nevertheless, he spun out the financial implications should such a deal happen. First, he said the price tag -- which amounts to about 25 times estimated 1999 revenue of $100 million -- seems reasonable for AltaVista. This only boils down to $1 to $2 a share for Compaq. Still, in terms of earnings per share impact, selling all of AltaVista would remove $90 million in goodwill amortization and perhaps up to $10 million in operating losses per quarter, Gardner said.

"A sale to CMGI would contradict most statements by Compaq management to date regarding their plans for AltaVista," Gardner said. The PC maker reiterated at its annual shareholder meeting in April that it planned to take AltaVista public before the end of the year, and keep a majority stake, the analyst explained. "The most compelling rationale for a change in this strategy is management's realization of the significant investments in branding required during the coming 12 to 24 months in order for AltaVista to compete effectively with well-entrenched competitors like Yahoo and Amazon.com."

In other news, CIBC World Markets cut its rating on Gateway to Underperform from Hold. Rumors that the PC maker is looking to acquire ISP Earthlink Networks (ELNK) are still alive. The company has said it is trying to branch out from its core PC business. MR

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Tobacco
SYM LAST PRICE P/E 52-WK HI 52-WK LO NET CHG. % CHG.
(BTI) 18.81 23.0 22.25 15.00 -0.69 -3.54
(MO) 40.50 12.0 59.50 33.06 -1.81 -4.28
(RJR) 31.81 0.0 34.00 30.37 0.19 0.60
(UST) 31.06 11.0 35.62 25.25 0.00 0.00
Quote As Of 1999/6/24 3:59PM

The landmark multibillion-dollar lawsuit known as the Engle case is expected to go to the jury on Monday, with closing arguments likely to wrap up Friday. This latest litigation against tobacco companies is significant because it's the first class action lawsuit (filed by Florida residents) to go to trial. And onlookers say tobacco companies may have to pay up. The plaintiffs are seeking $200 billion to $500 billion from tobacco companies on the grounds that they allegedly conspired to hide the fact that smoking is harmful to one's health.

James Brucculeri at Merrill Lynch delivered some good news and some bad news to tobacco investors in a litigation update Thursday. "Based on a reading of the jury instructions, we believe that it is likely that the jury will rule in favor of the plaintiffs in Phase I," said Brucculeri. "However, we believe the market has already discounted this possibility." Merrill continues to recommend shares of Philip Morris and R.J. Reynolds with Accumulate ratings on each. CS

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Drugs
SYM LAST PRICE P/E 52-WK HI 52-WK LO NET CHG. % CHG.
(AZN) 40.06 32.0 48.93 31.00 -0.13 -0.32
(BRL) 37.88 19.0 49.75 24.62 0.88 2.38
(GLX) 55.13 30.0 76.18 49.37 -0.25 -0.45
(LLY) 66.94 28.0 97.75 62.56 1.75 2.68
(MRK) 68.94 27.0 87.37 57.50 1.06 1.56
(NRGN) 14.75 0.0 18.75 9.93 0.00 0.00
(PFE) 101.38 40.0 150.12 86.00 2.69 2.73
(PNU) 54.63 30.0 66.37 40.43 -1.06 -1.90
(SBH) 65.63 36.0 76.37 48.06 -0.75 -1.13
(SGP) 48.50 34.0 60.81 42.37 1.25 2.65
(WLA) 62.44 33.0 85.93 60.12 -0.56 -0.89
(WPI) 40.06 23.0 63.00 35.50 -0.13 -0.32
Quote As Of 1999/6/24 4:02PM

On a day chock full of bleak earnings forecasts, drug stocks were mixed.

The maker of allergy drug Claritin gave investors a breath of fresh air. Schering-Plough said it expects to report earnings for the second quarter and for all of 1999 that are on target with analysts expectations. The company said it should earn "at least" 36 cents a share, which is the consensus estimate for the quarter that ends Wednesday.

"For the full year, we expect the increase in Schering-Plough's 1999 earnings per share to approach 20%, which would give us our 14th consecutive year of double-digit growth in earnings per share," the company said in a press release.

Last year, Schering-Plough sold $2.3 billion worth of Claritin, the leading prescription allergy medication and the company's star product. This hay fever season, Claritin cornered 53% of the market, and according to the company, "is on track for a strong performance this year." CS

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Banks
SYM LAST PRICE P/E 52-WK HI 52-WK LO NET CHG. % CHG.
(AIB) 27.00 5.0 41.62 23.00 -0.69 -2.49
(BKB) 47.81 15.0 59.06 25.75 -1.38 -2.81
(FLT) 41.31 15.0 46.81 30.00 -1.38 -3.23
(ONE) 54.69 14.0 63.56 36.06 -3.00 -5.20
(CBH) 40.50 19.0 50.50 31.62 -0.31 -0.76
(BEN) 36.75 21.0 54.87 25.75 -1.50 -3.92
(FSR) 26.25 21.0 35.31 18.06 -0.56 -2.09
(FVB) 48.75 18.0 59.00 39.68 -1.25 -2.50
(SUB) 40.63 14.0 49.43 30.75 -0.75 -1.81
(WFC) 41.88 19.0 44.87 27.50 -0.50 -1.18
Quote As Of 1999/6/24 3:54PM

Financial stocks continued to get whacked by fears about higher interest rates. Already, the yield on the benchmark 30-year Treasury bond rose to 6.14% from 6.133% Wednesday. Last Friday, the yield was at 5.97%. The countdown is on for the highly anticipated Federal Reserve meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Otherwise, a few analysts cheered news that SmartMoney pick Bank One launched a second Web site called wingspanbank.com. A spokesman for the bank said the new site will be "complementary and competing" with their old site, bankone.com, and be operated by its credit card company, First USA. Both sites offer investing, checking, loan applications and other banking services.

Fox-Pitt, Kelton, Inc. analyst Michael Granger said the bank's new Web site was expected, and that was part of the reason he has a Buy recommendation on the stock. "They have been the most aggressive in pursuit of an Internet strategy, as far as major banks are concerned," Granger says. Granger pointed to the success of the first Web site, as well as advances in their retail and credit card business department as other pluses.

Merrill Lynch analyst Sandra Flannigan reiterated her Accumulate rating on Bank One. Costs for the site might prompt her to trim her earnings estimates for this year and next, she said, but not enough to severely impact the stock rating or price objectives.

"Indeed, if the First USA management is as successful in building a low-cost branchless bank as they were in building a low-cost moneyline card business, the longer term financial implications are very upbeat," Flanningan said in a report. MG

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Home builders
SYM LAST PRICE P/E 52-WK HI 52-WK LO NET CHG. % CHG.
(CMH) 11.25 11.0 16.50 10.43 -0.25 -2.17
(DHI) 16.06 8.0 24.93 10.62 -0.44 -2.67
(LEN) 22.75 8.0 34.37 14.87 -0.06 -0.26
(OH) 12.13 10.0 32.18 10.87 -0.25 -2.02
(TOL) 21.13 8.0 30.50 17.37 -0.63 -2.90
Quote As Of 1999/6/24 4:01PM

Interest rate worries continued to hammer most home building stocks. Shares of Lennar bucked the trend most of the day as investors digested its strong second-quarter earnings report issued Tuesday, but ended slightly lower. The home builder earned 63 cents a share, beating the consensus expectation by a penny, compared to a year ago when it earned 47 cents a share. Revenue was $738.4 million. Lennar's average home price was up 12.2% to $218,682, reflecting more home construction in California's higher-price market. New orders expanded 9.4% to 3,632, despite 7.5% fewer selling communities.

Merrill Lynch analyst Robert Curran called it "another stand-out quarter" and said he expects the good times to continue for Lennar. "We anticipate substantial earnings gains this year and in fiscal year 2000," he wrote in a report. "We believe that Lennar is positioned to realize a 16% to 17% increase in deliveries, moderately higher gross profit margins and sharply improved profits in fiscal year 1999."

The analyst noted that the stock is surely not reflecting its projected growth. In fact, he said Lennar shares are selling at a steep discount to the market multiple and should be trading "at least at 40% to 45% of the 1999 market multiple." The analyst has a 12-month $32 price target and Buy rating on the stock. MR

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To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (27204)6/25/1999 4:18:00 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 50167
 
Stock Weakness Helps USWeb/CKS and EarthWeb
By Dean Tomasula

Looking for a play in Internet stocks? Analysts and investment banks contributing research to Multex.com have identified the most followed companies this week among The Internet Analyst's universe of 150 stocks:

The shares of USWEB/CKS (USWB) are rated STRONG BUY-SPECULATIVE, with a 12-month price target of $50. Dain Rauscher Wessels said there is no fundamental reason for the stock's weakness, and that it creates a "compelling buying opportunity." The brokerage forecasts EPS for 1999 of $0.45 and EPS of $0.70 for 2000. It also said it expects the company to post an excellent June quarter, marked by solid momentum in hiring, strong organic revenue growth and improving operational efficiencies. Dain Rauscher said it is projecting 11% sequential revenue growth this quarter. There were 25 new reports about USWEB/CKS added to the Multex.com database last week. In May, research about the company was accessed 30 times.

Volpe Brown Whelan rates the shares of EARTHWEB (EWBX) a STRONG BUY and is maintaining its price target of $68.The brokerage forecasts a loss for 2Q99 of $1.15 per share and a loss for 3Q99 of $0.92 per share. For 1999, the brokerage expects the company to report a loss of $3.68 per share. That figure is expected to decline to a loss of $2.28 per share for 2000. Volpe Brown Whelan said EARTHWEB's stock is trading at a 60% discount to comparable companies. There were 10 new reports about the company added to our database last week. In May, research on the company was downloaded once.

Dain Rauscher reiterated its STRONG BUY-SPECULATIVE rating on VERISIGN (VRSN), with a price target of $100. The brokerage said the June quarter business momentum looks very strong, and that higher pricing continues to be a major catalyst for its Web site business. It also noted that VERISIGN's upcoming Personal Trust Agent and GoSecure managed services will enable the company to penetrate the relatively untapped high-volume consumer services market in late 1999. Dain Rauscher forecasts 1999 EPS of $0.01 and 2000 EPS of $0.32. There were 20 new reports about the company added to our database last week. In May, reports about VERISIGN were accessed 39 times.



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (27204)6/25/1999 4:21:00 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Respond to of 50167
 
Index Options - a good play right now!

Index Options give investors the opportunity to follow the movement of the whole market rather than the movement of a particular stock. The instrument underlying an Index Option is a specific stock index.

Folks, as you also know, stocks are exposed to market risk. Since a decline in the market will affect the value of a stock portfolio, this risk cannot be reduced by diversifying the portfolio. Don't get the wrong impression that I did not leave enough room for Long Position. If I find the right company and the right price that will fit my portfolio - I buy it (for long term investing). If you are a Short term Trader, then it would be different...

To go back to Index Options, you should be able to assess the effect that market movements will have on a portfolio. This may be done by looking at the beta of a stock (or a portfolio). Beta (as you know) measures a stock's volatility when compared to the total market (as measured by the S & P 500). No matter how high or low the market is, you always ad good companies to your portfolio (if the price and the time is right despite how high the Index is trading). Thus, to protect yourself - you use the S & P Index Options, especially if the whole market is exposed to a decline (as of today!).

Example: An investor owns a diversified portfolio of stocks with a market value of $1,000,000 (he just added a new basket of stocks to his portfolio - let's assume a basket of paper stocks which are undervalued right now!). Let's assume that the portfolio has a beta 1, means it is equal to the market's volatility.

As protection against a declining market (because DJIA is trading close to 10,900, the interest rates are going higher - the Market looks Bearish overall short term), the investor should purchase put options on a broad-based Index, such as the S & P 100 (for example!).

Let's assume that S & P 100 Index is currently at 250 (or an underlying value of $25,000). Since the portfolio and the market have equal volatility (a beta of 1), 40 put options ($1,000,000 divided by $25,000) should be purchased. If the beta is higher than 1, the investor would have to purchase more than 40 > put options to hedge...

To apply the above to what I said prior: We could spread out the purchase of 40 put options between the rallies or Sell Index Calls...

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"Article contributed by Milo Y. Georgieff, editor of ALFA Mdg Corp. Milo Y. Georgieff is a General Securities Representative and an Investment Advisor registered with NASD. He is NALU member and provides audio commentary in Equity Trading and Investing for Atlantic Broadcasting System, New York.