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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (46968)6/26/1999 9:17:00 AM
From: tdl4138  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Anyone investing with a long term horizon should do well...edit that..should do great.Long term defined as 12+months. The unfortunate part of the equation is that even though oil has stabilized at $16-18 the earnings expectations are higher in most peoples minds than reality dictates. Higher earnings will come fast and furious...but not until the whole sector gears up.

This takes time. Perfect example of this was UFAB this week. Why should earnings have been down....after all...oil has been up for months....When the numbers were not there....neither were the buyers.

I would still suspect that the first companies to see improvement will be the little E&P's...Like EEX and EPEX. They should be able to benefit immediately. A lot of people will be watching this qtrs earnings.Strong improvement in bottom lines will be well rewarded, and rising crude prices will show a direct correlation to stock prices.But until the numbers improve, its still just speculating.

FGI has the opportunity to evolve into a well rounder player...but how long will it take? In the meantime, why buy and hold it? From the recent price action...that seems to be the perception. I bet the first time they announce a building "backlog"...the stock will rocket. But to take bets today as to when that will be...doesn't make sense.

I think I'm over simplyfying things a bit...but until price of crude becomes higher earnings...oh well...I think we all get the picture.

Just my thoughts
Dave