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To: The Atheist who wrote (5262)6/28/1999 1:31:00 PM
From: Craig Jacobs  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13157
 
The Broadband Bridge to the Next Millennium
URL: chkpt.zdnet.com
Berst Alert
Jesse Berst, Editorial Director<BR>ZDNet AnchorDesk
Monday, June 28, 1999

I'm on stage this morning to keynote the Interactive Broadband
Services Technology Summit, so I thought I'd take this
opportunity to give you a heads up on an important new
trend. Perhaps the most important trend of the next decade.


Question: What do Brooklyn, the Golden Gate and broadband
Internet access have in common?

Answer: They're all famous bridges.

Broadband won't get you to Manhattan or Marin County,
but it will soon bridge incredible gaps. To connect places
and people in powerful new ways.

Right now, less than half of 1% of American households
connect at broadband speeds (200 K or greater). According
to Forrester Research, however, 25% of all online households
will have broadband access by 2002, with more and more
to follow.

Here are seven gaps that will soon be bridged by broadband.
As these changes occur, new fortunes will be made. Old
fortunes -- and old brands -- will be destroyed. Even
government is not immune.

Between user and content. Today, TV networks, movie theaters,
record companies and print-media publishers decide when
you can see their content. With broadband, you'll choose
what you want, when you want. The evening news at 8:17,
for example. And you'll choose who you want, selecting
content from sources you know, like and trust. As content
becomes a commodity, the differentiating factor will be
the who and the how of the delivery.

Between coworkers. Videoconferencing will replace audio-only
conference calls. We'll still need to travel -- because
strong relationships depend on in-person rapport -- but
broadband videoconferences will revolutionize employee
training, executive speeches and analyst briefings.

Between friends. Broadband isn't just about work. Russell
Horowitz, CEO of Paul Allen-blessed portal Go2Net, tells
Business Week multiplayer games will be the first killer
app of the broadband world. Likewise, teenagers will be
early adopters of home videoconferencing. The Clearasil
set already digs conference calls and is sure to embrace
the visual element.

-- Page 2 --

Between advertisers and consumers. Rich-media advertising
over fast pipes. Advertisers will deliver "infotisements"
you'll be thrilled to sit through. Really. If you're,
say, a golf fanatic, you'll eagerly sit through a commercial
for a club-design breakthrough. Or if you're car shopping,
you'll appreciate 360-degree images of vehicles. With
an exterior color of your choice. Or, better yet, test
drives along interchangeable virtual roads.

Between entertainers and consumers. Film, music and video
distributors are at the end of their lifecycles if they
don't jump on the broadband bandwagon. Otherwise they'll
be Dell-ed. Media companies who market direct to customers
-- and provide customized products -- will replace them.

Between desire and purchase. You're watching MTV and see
an artist whose CD you'd like to buy. Today, you'll schlep
to the store. Broadband will close that gap. You'll see
the video and purchase the CD with the click of a mouse.

Between haves and have nots. Don't believe the doomsayers
who claim technology will widen the gap between rich and
poor. Technology won't solve the problem... but it will
improve it. A century ago, third-world residents who wanted
to better themselves had to emigrate, then find a way
to finance an education. Usually it took two generations
or more to make the climb.

In the broadband future, ambitious people will no longer
need to leave poor countries to get an education. They'll
simply need access to an Internet terminal. It's not the
whole answer... but it's an improvement.

Like its brick and metal predecessors, the broadband bridge
will span incredible gaps to bring people together. And
also to reach the full potential of the Internet. Remember:
Less than 1% of households have
broadband access. The best is yet to come.

And the Best is yet to come as well. Coming to a computer
screen near you in full broadband, rich audio, 30 frames
per second glory. Someday in the next decade.