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To: Eric who wrote (26652)6/28/1999 12:30:00 PM
From: Mehitabel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
Eric-- enjoyed the Jubak article. Found his theory of two different groups of investors with divergent world views as an explanation for overall market action intriguing. Thank you.

>>From a slightly longer perspective, I think the differing views of these two groups
explain a lot of the market's volatility. On the average day, when the news favors
neither way of looking at the market, the two groups are likely to fight to a draw.
Relative value investors on such a day don't see any pressing reason to own stocks
and neither do growth investors. On other days, when the news is full of worry
about rising interest rates and growth investors don't have an earnings report or the
like to cheer them, the stock market is apt to move lower with bonds. And on yet
other days, when a company like Oracle (ORCL) beats earnings estimates and
relative value investors don't have a speech from one of the Fed governors to worry
about, growth stocks have a good chance of moving higher.<<

Regards



To: Eric who wrote (26652)6/28/1999 1:00:00 PM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
Eric - I am not a fan of Mr. Jubak. If I had listened to him last June when he wrote a bearish article on Nortel, I would have sold my Nortel and would not have purchased anymore Nortel because he stayed bearish on the stock. I would have missed the runup from 26 in October to 89 this month. During this runup, the stock did not appear as one Mr. Jubak's picks.

Ken