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To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (49919)	6/28/1999 11:34:00 PM
From: J. P.	Respond to of 86076

<<I really can't see how this "blowoff" everybody is expecting is going to show up with the bias to tighten still there. They have to change the bias for the blowoff I think.>> You could very well be right, my thought is that we all know already there will be a tightening of the rates accompanied by a bias to tighten. So it's priced in already, and the confirmation of what we already know may spark a rally. I think the bond will be key to watch, and if we break lower on the yield below the current trading channel, that will also be a catalyst and a leading indicator. It's my belief the bond is a buy right now. <<Re: the fall, I hate to pull a Luc, but everybody, yes everybody is expecting a bearish fall. Even the wildly optimistic internet threads are predicting a rough fall. That makes me think it aint gonna happen...>> What do you think is going to happen? (this week, and this fall?)