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Pastimes : Let's Talk About Our Feelings!!! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Neocon who wrote (42597)6/28/1999 11:24:00 PM
From: Dayuhan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 108807
 
To have any form of validity the inference must depend on evidence far stronger than statistical correlation. A demonstrable mechanism of causality is essential.



To: Neocon who wrote (42597)6/28/1999 11:48:00 PM
From: jbe  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 108807
 
Doggone, Washingtonitis has struck again!

Sorry, Neocon, but I am not quite sure what this sentence means either:

Many public policy decisions hinge on inferences from correlation, where the mechanism of causality is not clear.

This is what I get when I try to translate it:

Many public policy decisions are made on the basis of incomplete information. For example, when the data show a statistical correlation between two phenomena, the decision-makers may conclude that one is the cause of the other, even though the data demonstrate no such causal relationship.

If so, God help us all!!