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Strategies & Market Trends : Graham and Doddsville -- Value Investing In The New Era -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: David C. Burns who wrote (1695)7/1/1999 4:12:00 PM
From: LauA  Respond to of 1722
 
IMHO - that theory's too far out. What makes most sense is that Silver, the commodity was cheap relative to replacement cost. So buying at the level he did leaves little real down side risk. Then by taking possession of physical, he likely sells calls against it. I imagine that the $7+ calls were wonderful.

This is a wonderful opportunity to turn a non-perishable commodity into a bond. I know from personal experience that individuals can't play that game. You have to be very big to cover the fixed costs. Then the returns are terrific. Turns out that some very savvy value investors have been doing this forever - buying bottom fishing commodity contracts and rolling them. Returns are good, and risks minimal. No leverage is employed. In the Buffett case, he play bank to speculators.

Lau



To: David C. Burns who wrote (1695)7/3/1999 2:10:00 PM
From: porcupine --''''>  Respond to of 1722
 
G.M. and Ford Report Gains in June Car and Truck Sales

By MICHELLE KREBS -- July 3, 1999

DETROIT -- General Motors Corp. and
Ford Motor Co. reported that their car and
truck sales edged higher in June as the entire
auto industry recorded its best June in history
and its second best month ever.

Industry sales of cars and light trucks totaled
1.6 million vehicles last month, a 2 percent
increase over the blistering sales pace of a year
ago. That put the seasonally adjusted annual
selling rate at 17 million vehicles, 9 million
cars and 8 million trucks, according to Ward's
Communications, a Detroit publisher.

Reporting its best sales month since May 1989,
GM sold 493,475 cars and trucks in June, up 1
percent from a year earlier. Truck sales were
234,848, down less than a percent from the
record level of June 1998. Car sales rose 3
percent to 258,627. June sales put GM's
first-half sales slightly ahead of the period a
year earlier.

"For the first five months of this year, we were
not where we wanted to be, but we're pleased
with June," said Roy Roberts, GM's vice
president for North American vehicle sales,
service and marketing. "We saw the
momentum really pick up. June bodes well for
our performance in the second half of the
year." GM's share of the car and light truck
market rose to 30.8 percent, down from last
June but higher than it has been this year.

Ford reported its best sales month ever, with
sales of Ford, Mercury, Lincoln, Jaguar and
now Volvo vehicles up 5 percent from a year
earlier to 422,979 cars and light trucks. The
previous record was set in June 1978. It also
was Ford's best first half for sales since 1978.

Ford's truck sales set a new record at 235,675.
"We're pleased that truck sales are even higher
than last year's levels," said George Pipas, head
of Ford's sales analysis. "Last year, we had
incentives on trucks that we never had before,
and we don't have them this year." Ford's car
sales, thanks largely to the addition of Volvo,
which Ford acquired this year, rose 11 percent
from a year earlier to 187,294.

"The increase in our car sales sets us apart
from our competitors this month," Pipas said.
"The Japanese posted overall sales increases
but had lower car sales. Some of the increase
was the acquisition of Volvo, but even the
Ford, Mercury and Lincoln lines continued to
climb for the sixth month in a row."

Both Ford and GM have begun introducing
some critical new products. Ford recently
began selling the Lincoln LS, the first car from
its luxury division to go head to head with
German luxury makers, and the Jaguar S-Type,
an entry-level Jaguar built from the same
platform as the LS. This fall, Ford presents the
subcompact Ford Focus and the giant
Excursion sport utility. Meanwhile, GM will
revamp its entire large sport-utility line for fall
and unveil the new Cadillac DeVille,
Oldsmobile Aurora and Saturn L-Series, the
first new car for Saturn in a decade.

Both automakers forecast strong sales in the
second half of the year. GM's Roberts
predicted the industry would break the record
for annual car and truck sales set in 1986.

In a statement, Robert Rewey, Ford's group
vice president for marketing, sales and service,
said, "The question is fast becoming: by how
much will the industry sales record be
eclipsed."

Copyright 1999 The New York Times Company




To: David C. Burns who wrote (1695)7/14/1999 9:15:00 AM
From: porcupine --''''>  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1722
 
[GM struggles against Texas dealers' resistance to "DELL" model]

"Texas throws a wrench in GM's online plans"

By Kim Girard
Staff Writer, CNET News.com
July 7, 1999, 1:50 p.m. PT

Auto giant General Motor's plan to sell used cars and trucks in Houston via the Web has hit a stop
sign.

As reported in this morning's Houston Chronicle, the Texas department of transportation denied
Detroit-based GM's application for a license to sell used cars and trucks in Texas. Regulators cited a new
law that strengthens a prohibition against manufacturers having an ownership interest in local
dealerships.

The transportation department will give GM a chance to appeal the ruling, though regulators say chances of
overturning the decision are slim, the paper reported.

For GM, the ruling will bar the opening of its first online-linked used-vehicle store, which was planned
within the next two weeks, according to GM spokesman Donn Walker.

Through the new GM DriverSite program, consumers were supposed to be able to search online from a
database of select used cars that are returned to GM dealers after leases terminate. After picking a car,
potential buyers were to head to the Houston-based GM DriverSite store to test-drive the car. DriverSite
is not related to GM BuyPower, the company's other online initiative for marketing its new vehicles.

Houston was chosen as a test site for a planned national DriverSite program, which GM intends to use to
help sell its used vehicles, Walker said. GM chose Houston because it has a huge used-car market, and its
population is technologically savvy, he added.

Asked why GM didn't get regulatory approval before building the Houston store, he said, "No one should
underestimate government bureaucracies, and how long it takes to get things done." He continued,
"DriverSite was and hopefully still will be how we market and sell used cars."

"I am fairly confident that this will become a reality," he said.

GM officials did not comment on whether the company planned to appeal the decision.

James McQuivey, analyst at Forrester Research said dealer franchise laws in Texas are particularly
stringent. GM could face two choices: create a subsidiary that could sell the used cars or set up a used
car superstore in which the automaker would hold a 49-percent stake, McQuivey said.

"Basically GM could possibly rearchitect this thing so they're not the owner of the used car dealership
themselves," McQuivey said.

He said other companies, including Hertz and Ford (at Fordpreowned.com), have managed to set up online
sites to sell used cars. Ford, which is testing its program in four cities, asks that customers pay $300
to order a vehicle, which is delivered to a nearby dealership, where a dealer makes the sale and takes a
commission.



To: David C. Burns who wrote (1695)7/20/1999 9:14:00 AM
From: porcupine --''''>  Respond to of 1722
 
GM Reports Record Earnings

Tuesday July 20 8:36 AM ET

DETROIT (AP) - General Motors Corp. (NYSE:GM - news), benefitting
from increased sales of light trucks in the hot North American
market, said today that it posted a record $1.7 billion operating
profit in the second quarter - a more than five-fold increase over
strike-depressed earnings a year ago.

The world's No. 1 automaker earned $2.66 a share, compared with $306
million, or 40 cents a share, for the April-through-June period of
1998 after excluding earnings from GM's former parts unit, Delphi
Automotive Systems. Delphi was made independent from GM in May.

Sales totaled $45.1 billion, compared with adjusted revenue of $37.3
billion a year ago.

GM's earnings exceeded Wall Street analysts' expectations. The average
estimate of 15 analysts surveyed by First Call Corp. was $2.56 a
share.

As was the case with Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F - news), which reported
strong North American results last week, GM earned the bulk of its
profit from strong sales in the United States.

''In one of the most intensely competitive markets in recent history,
our North American automotive operations took advantage of the strong
demand and recorded net income of $1.5 billion, despite the extremely
tough pricing environment in this key region,'' Chairman Jack Smith
said.

GM also showed improvement in Europe, where operating earnings of $187
million represented a 51 percent improvement over the $124 million
earned a year ago. GM credited strong sales of its new Opel and
Vauxhall Zafira minivan and redesigned Opel Astra subcompact.

Elsewhere, GM lost money.

In the Asia-Pacific region, GM's red ink totaled $81 million, compared
with a $36 million loss in the same period of 1998. In Latin America,
Africa and the Mideast, GM lost $38 million, compared with a $48
million profit a year ago.

For the first half of the year, GM's worldwide operating earnings
totaled nearly $4 billion, or $5.33 a share, double the $2 billion, or
$2.33 a share, in the first half of 1998. Revenue totaled $87.5
billion, up 13 percent from $77.3 billion a year ago.

GM's earnings in the second quarter of 1998 were affected by strikes
at two parts plants in Flint, Mich., which cost the company an
estimated $890 million, or $1.32 a share, after taxes.