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To: Claude Cormier who wrote (36291)7/2/1999 1:57:00 AM
From: Roger G. Budgell  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116760
 
Am I missing something here. FO carry light, digitally modulated, lo power. This bodes well for communications. Copper carries communication as well as heavy power. FO will eventually eliminate copper for communications but not, to the best of my knowledge, as a transporter of heavy power. No doubt , the Newly Developing Nations will grow using FO for communications not copper. However having that, with the exception of aluminum, copper is the only economical alternative for power transmission within a plant, house, external lighting, etc.

roger



To: Claude Cormier who wrote (36291)7/2/1999 2:34:00 AM
From: Ron Everest  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116760
 
Claude, you stated: <<Hydro-Quebec, probably the most reputable institution in the electricity generation business.>>

How so? Just maybe we should consider what has happened to Newfoundland where much of the power is generated. Nfld got the shaft good and proper from Hydro Quebec, that is why Hydro Quebec can boast their profits!



To: Claude Cormier who wrote (36291)7/2/1999 7:54:00 AM
From: Hawkmoon  Respond to of 116760
 
<<Do I hate copper miners just because I think Fiber Optic bandwidth will ultimately make twisted pair copper absolutely obsolete??>>

Hey Claude.... The key words in that statement are "will ultimately" implying that at some time in the future, the greater effciency of fiber or wireless based communications will make copper wire obsolete for that purpose.

As for power transmission, I also have little doubt that within 20 years, the ability to fashion ambient or high temperature superconductors not made of copper will do the same.

Thus, the hand-writing is on the wall in the copper market. Be careful how much you spend on exploring for and developing copper reserves because the market demand may continue to decrease from past highs.

So yes, I realize that utterly replacing copper doesn't make sense for now, but the trend is clear that it will remain in excess until a new use is made for it.

Maybe copper will be declared a reserve currency and the Fed Reserve can buy up 14 worth of production of it.... <VBG>

Regards,

Ron