To: Valueman who wrote (5509 ) 7/2/1999 11:05:00 AM From: John Stichnoth Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29987
Vman, I absolutely agree with your points over the last couple of days. It's a huge problem. A couple of thoughts on the implications: 1. This is a chance to close out IRID as a competitor. Instead, G* is offering customers--and a gasp of life--to IRID. A potential customer calls G* and irid, compares prices, is able to get irid service now. What does he do? Of course he signs up with irid! That's not just a deferred customer who will have to be "resold", it's a lost customer. Not only that, but it's a customer to G*'s only competitor. A better course would be to quote "expected" prices that blow irid out of the water. Those customers would be much more likely to defer their purchase, denying revenue--and that last gasp of life--to irid. Is there anything to prevent G* to set their actual price in 90 days above what they are indicating today? 2. The handset issue is self-reinforcing. The mfgrs will be producing at a base rate in September and afterwards. At base levels it will take over a year to get enough handsets made to reach breakeven. High prices initially threatens to leave initial production unsold. Follow the pokemon model! Initially, packs sold for $2. They were cheap and a "throwaway" purchase. Now, the price in our area is $6.99! And you can't find any! Price low. Who cares about a few million dollar loss on the initial handsets, when you are already into billions? G* is already on the hook for that original volume of phones. Encourage vast demand far outstripping supply. Allow the huge demand to cause prices to rise above the MSRP. This will engender positive news stories. The huge demand will encourage Q and ericy to ramp up production faster. This will lower unit costs. A wonderful reinforcing cycle is created!