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Pastimes : Kosovo -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: GUSTAVE JAEGER who wrote (13238)	7/2/1999 10:21:00 AM
From: Neocon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 17770

Gustave, the joke is senseless...

To: GUSTAVE JAEGER who wrote (13238)	7/2/1999 10:24:00 AM
From: MNI	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 17770

Gustave, never seriously tried fooling you. Maybe one time in the future? Only once I posted you answer on your request on your brilliant Mossad/Denard/France scenario, that I still did not take enough time to consume. This post was not in all parts to be taken serious, as I already confessed, but I didn't mean it derisory. Nor did I ever. I invite you to also keep a warm temperate tone. With you 'MNI' interpretation you hit the wrong way round, it was me who once told you you shouldn't pose as if you knew everything in Europe, bare truth, no bias. But it was a pretty funny idea anyway. My style is rather to ask questions, and normally in humble voice, than to give answers. Only in cases where a supposition is really opposed to my slice of reality, I dare to answer. Then, I normally would like people to understand my explanations as an inherent question on the contents of their reality. I considered (but not deeply, sorry) your idea on deterministic chaos/nonlinearity theory for politics. To me it seems that such theory can be used in history, for a former case of HUGE EFFECT from small beginning, but its' predictive features seems to be to limited to rely for any planned action on it. For demonstration let us assume A was the boss of the French secret service and asked an agent B how he would to topple the, say, German government, and this person would propose to let a butterfly swith his wing at the Red Square of Moscow at exactly the right moment, by what setup the government would have to go surely, as his involved but well-converged calculations show. A would ask B later on the success, and B would have to confess that yes, the butterfly winged at exactly the right moment, and yes the model had been calculated correctly, but no, the German government had not been toppled, because just at the same moment a heavy lorry went by and produced a small breeze, just strong enough to turn oraund the effects and instead of the German government toppled there was a magnetic storm in Iceland ... To my understanding the extreme sensitivity of deterministic chaos theories to anything at the point of cause make the results so instable that in reality nobody could build his/her/their plans on it for lack of practical predictability. But it is a nice idea, and you should go on to find new ideas and aspects to everything you meet, the creativity is brilliant. Regards MNI.