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Strategies & Market Trends : Z PORTFOLIO -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Susan Saline who wrote (2874)7/3/1999 3:54:00 PM
From: Ron McKinnon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11568
 
Sue
a lot of things in your post to think about on a holiday weekend

as far as the Z, I have all the trades in Excel so can pretty much sort any way you want to
but for groupings, averages, etc I'd need some one to do the "macro"'s

taking losses: you seem to be trading better than I have ever seen you: so progress comes, over time; we all learn more at this game, every day
as long as our funds grow and mistakes are fewer we are doing well

averiging down on "big/good" stocks for holds
I like to decide how much I might want at maximum; for a longer term hold
then I pick 3 prices; one at a "normal" buy point--- buy 1/6th there
then a "fall" point maybe the 2nd level support or the 60 DMA or somathing---buy 2/6;s there
then a "wish" price; lower long term support, maybe 200DMA, or so, a real "wish" price
if it ever falls there on say a market panic; buy the last 3-6th's there

don't let my CUST short scare you from a long for a swing trade; this one moves all over the place; I have no idea where it might end up but want shorts in at various levels for the longer term

DIR, the only problem is the huge float, 100mm shares or so
I think that will keep it from ever being a true "net-like" runner
I think there might be better ones in the same sector

just came in from the pool to take a peek here then try some fancy ideas with fish and veggies (steamed on the grill), and garlic/tomatoe/cheese bread on the grill
hope I dont mess it up

too darn nice to be inside

all have a super and safe 4th



To: Susan Saline who wrote (2874)7/5/1999 10:31:00 PM
From: DanZ  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11568
 
DIR, GMGC, GUMM.

Sue,

DLJ Direct hasn't been trading very long but my guess is that it will trade in a range between 23 1/3 and 29 1/2 for the short term. Anything outside that range could result in a continuation of the move in that direction. Friday's close of 27 1/8 is too close to the middle of the range for me to make a chart based trade. I haven't looked at the fundamentals but I don't consider this company to be one of the top on-line brokers. I'd wait for to see if it falls back to the bottom of the trading range before buying it. If I already owned it, I'd hold as long as it doesn't break 23. The stock has been oscillating in a narrowing range after the big run up from 23 to 45 in May. I assume this is when it went public. Given its pattern of lower highs and higher lows since May, a breach of 23 wouldn't be good whereas a move above 29 3/4 would be positive.

GMGC held support at 3 1/2 last week and closed on an uptick. The stock looks good from a risk perspective with a target of 4 1/2 to 5. The stock might have some resistance at the middle daily and middle weekly bollinger bands (3 7/8 to 4).

GUMM closed above its upper daily, weekly, and monthly bollinger bands last week. This type of chart pattern is almost always followed by a continuation of the move and is very bullish. The stock also posted it's highest weekly and monthly close since July and August 1997. The weekly stochastic is oversold and turned up last week. The weekly stochastic is also near a point that marked previous bottoms in the stock. The future fundamentals look very good for GumTech and the chart is finally confirming it. I think the stock could trade to 18 within a few weeks.

Best of luck with DIR and your other holdings. I agree with Ron. You have been trading very well this year and I sincerely appreciate all your posts here and on the other thread. I don't say that often enough, but I mean it with all sincerity.

Dan