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To: Bill Harmond who wrote (3998)7/5/1999 1:41:00 AM
From: Doug Fowler  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 7772
 
William:

The reason that the outage represents about $4M in revenue is because eBay refunded for all auctions that were active at the time of the outage.

That means about one week's worth of auctions (not just a few days), as the average auction is for one week. (Even if an auction was listed just a few hours before the outage started, that person's auction listing fee and commission was forfeited by eBay.)

As you may recall, eBay estimated the cost of the outage to be between $3M and $5M. I am simply using the mid-point of their estimate, combined with the knowledge that about 2.3M auctions were active at the time of the outage and with the fact that eBay derives around $1.50 to $1.70 on average per auction.

--Doug