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Strategies & Market Trends : 50% Gains Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dale Baker who wrote (8407)7/5/1999 11:48:00 AM
From: Dale BakerRespond to of 118717
 
PORTFOLIO UPDATE JULY 3:

For new lurkers, I update my portfolio from time to time so you can see how I have distributed my holdings among sectors, and track the winners and losers. This is a real portfolio – no smoke, mirrors, newsletters or other hype jobs. All of my trades are recorded for the thread.

The market is back in gear with the 50% Gains portfolio taking off along with the major averages.

In dollar terms, the portfolio is now only 2% off its high for 1999 – which is more than I can say for a lot of individual stocks.

New additions (since 6/26): FPAFF, HPK, TACO, MFNX Aug 37.5 calls, BAMM short.

Out (since 6/26): VUSA, RIG, BWT short, BXM, CS July 15 calls.

Now holding 49% techs and 52% non-tech stocks (with 1% margin balance).

Portfolio currently ahead 60% YTD, up from +50% on June 26. Dow is up 22%, NASDAQ 24% and S&P about 13%. The Internet Index is also up 60% YTD.

According to the Bloomberg Mutual Fund Center, the 50% Gains portfolio is now behind the top 25 US mutual funds for YTD performance (though 12 of those are Asia or Russia-based funds). It takes +62% YTD to make the cut right now. The one-year performance (108) ranks 19th. bloomberg.com

Core holdings: AOL, BRKB, CMGI, EGRP, FNDTF, FRNT, MFNX, MSFT, MSGI, RNWK, SILK, URBN, VRIO, WCOM: 52%.

50% Gains Candidates: BINC, CBUK, CMCSK, CYPLF, HPK, HSAC, IFSX, IMCL, LWIN, LPAC, PRVT, SBTV, SONE, STRM, TACO, TGLO: 41%.

Tradin' Trash: FPAFF, WEIR: 3%.

Options: CS July 10 calls, PTEK August 15 calls, HMK Sept 16.6 calls, CUST November 17.5 puts, GIC December 45 calls, WMB January 2001 40 LEAP calls, T January 2001 56.6 LEAP calls: 5%.

Cash: -1%.

Current shorts: BAMM, KOPN and ICCSA. Equals 8% of portfolio value long, up from 6.5% on June 26. Two positions are slightly behind while BAMM is in the black.

SECTORS: Internuts lose out to Communications with VUSA gone. Biotech, Gaming and Retailing are all getting a bit fatter too. Options holdings are included.

Broadcasting/Communications: WCOM, MFNX, LWIN, LPAC, T calls, SBTV, HSAC, CMCSK (24.5%)
Internet Services: AOL, CMGI, RNWK, VRIO, MSGI, TGLO, PRVT, STRM (22.5%)
Financial/Insurance: BRKB, EGRP, IFSX, SONE (18%)
Software: FNDTF, SILK, MSFT (9%)
Retailers: URBN, WEIR, HMK, CBUK, TACO (7.8%)
Biotech: BINC, IMCL (6.4%)
Gaming: CYPLF, HPK (6.3%)
Energy: WMB calls (4.7%)
Travel: FRNT (1.3%)
Asia: FPAFF (1.27%)
Hardware: CS calls (.3%)

Currently 23 winners, 2 break even and 7 losers, or 24, 2 and 9 if you count shorts (options are too volatile to include week to week). Three of the losers are less than 10% in the red.

Comments, questions and suggestions more than welcome as always.

NEW – To level the playing field with mutual funds, I created the Fifty Percent Gains Hypothetical Mutual Fund (FPGHMF) with all my stocks over $100 million market cap, no shorts or options and no margin. The fund was started on June 13, 1999 with a cash balance of $50 million. Stocks are added and deleted at the same time as the real 50% Gains portfolio (except stocks under $100 million market cap).

Performance since inception (+7%)

Current holdings: AOL BRKB CBUK CMCSK CMGI
CS EGRP FNDTF FRNT GIC HPK HSAC IFSX
IMCL LWIN MFNX MSFT MSGI PIXR PRVT PTEK
RIG RNWK SBTV SILK SONE STRM T TACO
TGLO URBN VRIO VUSA WCOM WMB

Holdings range from 1000 BRKB shares to 123,500 CBUK. I will keep RIG for now until I add something new.



To: Dale Baker who wrote (8407)7/5/1999 12:08:00 PM
From: Dale BakerRespond to of 118717
 
Harmon on TGLO:

To: rassle (2038 )
From: steve harmon - analyst ( Ignore ) Saturday, Jul 3 1999 4:47AM ET
Reply # of 2081

tglo - a buyer looking for traffic may go for about.com (nasdaq:bout) first but i think both bout and tglo end up bought soon