To: Hawkmoon who wrote (36573 ) 7/5/1999 8:44:00 PM From: donald martin Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116815
<<And the fact that farm advocates are clamoring for a gold-backed security in order to boost overall commodity prices indicates how risky a gold standard really is.>> I wouldn't go quite that far. I'm in agreement with you, sort of, about your argument that any kind of "fixing" amounts to a subsidy. However, if "fixing" a currency to a basket of commodities gives the market the confidence it needs that currency won't be inflated, so be it. Somewhere in that basket, I would add, you have to weave in labor and technology/productivity. I think the problem with a gold standard right now is that it would be a fundamental change in the ground rules. And we can predict what many of the effects would be, but not all of them. (Dem's da wuns I's worried about.) As far as the anti-subsidy argument goes, going back to the cries from the farmers to prop up agricultural product prices... If we find ourselves saying, ok, we're going to run monetary policy now with the goal of stabilizing these products 20% than they are right now, what happens when the cost of fertilizer, tractors, fuel, and construction materials rise 30%? Will we then see farmers asking the monetary authorities to run the peg another 10%? (Rhetorical question. Of course they will.) That's not a slope I want to end up on. I think that it's not too unreasonable to tie monetary policy to a basket of goods and services. So long as that fix remains static. We've been led to believe that the CPI as reported by DOL represents a big ass basket of goods and services. Wish I knew more about their calculations. I'll tell you though, my instincts are that they're fudging.