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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GVTucker who wrote (85027)7/7/1999 7:54:00 PM
From: Harry Landsiedel  Respond to of 186894
 
GV Tucker. Re: "I think that Wall St. follows sentiment rather than creates it." I think WS sentiment and investor sentiment feed on each other. That's true when a stock is rising AND falling. It's the herd instinct.

Re: "the valuation will only change slowly, as long as Intel can demonstrate that it can weather a recession better. This was happening throughout the 90's, as Intel's valuation grew steadily from a multiple around 12 to the current multiple around 30." I think another factor in the stock's rise and fall depends on the state of the competition and the PERCEIVED opinion about how much Intel can control pricing.

When the PowerPC chip came out, this threat depressed the price. When National bought Cyrix, this held down the price/PE. Now that we're down to one very weak competitor, and Intel has again emerged triumphant the price/PE is expanding.

Of course, in the LONG RUN, as Mr. Engel posted, "the stock price will follow earnings." And patience will be rewarded.

HL