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To: Bill Murphy who wrote (36873)7/9/1999 12:57:00 AM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 116764
 
Bill,

Are you making a recommendation regarding gold?

Is this a potential conflict of interest with regard to your role as head of GATA?

IMO, you really lose all credibilty when you make these blatant attempts to encourage people to buy gold. Are you willing to compensate them should it go the other way?

After all, many gold mines were apparently quite active in intensifying their hedging activities.

Again, I'm sorry to criticize you, but when you make these blatant recommendations, you sound exactly like one of these commodities brokers we see on TV and radio.

And imagine if I were to come out here and say the exact opposite of your post....:

"Yes, right on. Time to be an aggressive gold seller. No buts. Just sell. Silver too".

I think you get the point.

Regards,

Ron



To: Bill Murphy who wrote (36873)7/9/1999 3:48:00 PM
From: Alex  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116764
 
US Congress Unlikely to Back Imf Gold Sale in Current Form - Part 1

--Rep. Frank to amend gold-sale bill to give support to miners
--Clinton administration to continue push for IMF gold sale

By Blair Pethel, Bridge News
Washington--Jul 9--The proposed gold sales by the
International Monetary Fund to help fund poor-country debt
relief is unlikely to be approved by the US Congress,
thereby nullifying the IMF's plan to fund its portion of
debt relief, lawmakers and congressional staff told Bridge
News.
Congressional opposition to the sale has become so vocal
that US Treasury officials privately concede they will have
an uphill battle in their lobbying effort to convince
lawmakers to support the proposal, which is part of the
fiscal 2000 US budget proposal.
Because of the opposition, Rep. Barney Frank, D-Mass.,
told Bridge News he planned to introduce an amendment to the
legislation that would allow the sale to proceed, but would
require 10% of the proceeds to be set aside for unemployment
insurance for miners in poor gold-producing countries that
could lose their jobs because of further gold-price
declines.
The IMF is seeking to sell up to 10% of its gold
reserves--about 10 million ounces--invest the proceeds in US
Treasuries or comparable interest-bearing securities, and
use the income generated to fund debt relief for heavily
indebted poor countries--known as HIPC.
The US Treasury Department estimates that income of
around $2.5 billion to $2.8 billion would be generated by
this investment over the next 15 years.
But the IMF and central bank sales are pressuring gold
prices to a 20-year low. The price decline is hurting gold-
producing countries--many of which are HIPC.
Several gold-producing nations have in recent weeks
publicly opposed the IMF proposal, most notably Ghana, one
of the world's largest producers.
Even though Ghana would be helped under the HIPC
initiative approved last month by the Group of 8 leaders at
the Cologne Summit, Ghana has said the IMF should stop its
gold-sale plans. Ghana's Minister of Mines and Energy Fred
Ohene Kena told Bridge News the IMF plan would be
counterproductive, and falling gold prices would paralyze
the economies of gold-producing countries.
"The IMF must find other ways of supporting countries in
distress which rely heavily on gold, especially when its
price is so low," he said.

futuresource.com



To: Bill Murphy who wrote (36873)7/9/1999 3:51:00 PM
From: Alex  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116764
 
Congress Unlikely to Back Imf Gold Sale in Current Form: Part 2

<Picture>

This plea, together with other notable opposition, most
recently from South African President Thabo Mbeki, has
resonated among US lawmakers and helped to galvanize
opposition to the proposal, congressional staff and
lawmakers said.
Legislation has already been introduced by New Jersey
Republican Rep. Jim Saxton--and co-sponsored by House
Majority Leader Dick Armey of Texas--to block the sale of
IMF gold unless the proceeds are returned to the nations
that contributed the gold to the IMF's reserves initially.
Opposition is bipartisan in both the House and Senate
because:
--It would hurt US gold producers and cost mining jobs;
--It would hurt poor gold-producing countries overseas
more than the debt relief would help, and
--It would provide the IMF with additional resources not
subject to extra-institutional oversight.
"I don't know of anyone who has explicitly identified
with this approach," a senior House staffer said. "While
there is a majority of lawmakers who support financing debt
relief, none of them support this particular mechanism."
The staffer conceded that "there are probably a large
number of members who are open-minded" on the issue, but he
noted that "there is some high-level opposition, and it's by
no means clear to most members that this is the best or only
means to finance IMF debt relief."
He stressed that the link between the IMF sale and its
Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility is "quite
controversial." ESAF is the IMF's concessional lending
window, through which it makes interest-free loans to its
poorest members. It is also the mechanism the IMF would use
to fund debt relief, the procedure working as follows:
--When a country qualifies for debt relief, the IMF
would make an interest-free loan to it from ESAF;
--The country would then use that interest-free money to
make interest and principal payments on its existing stock
of IMF debt, ultimately paying it down.
--The ESAF loan would then be repayable--principal only
--over an extended maturity, giving the HIPC country in
effect zero-interest refinancing of its IMF debt.
However, to qualify for an ESAF loan, an HIPC country
must meet IMF conditions, which include economic and
structural reforms that many lawmakers believe hit the
poorest disproportionately hard. Rep. Frank told Bridge News
that "I'm for selling gold, but not for the ESAF. It causes
problem by forcing adjustment measures which make the poor
worse off."
"The bottom line is that the reason we're going through
all these circuitous financing techniques with the IMF--and
to a certain extent the World Bank--is because the two
institutions are unwilling to write down loans. We go
through this fiction so it will appear that they are being
repaid by their borrowers," a Senate staffer pointed out.



To: Bill Murphy who wrote (36873)7/9/1999 3:53:00 PM
From: Alex  Respond to of 116764
 
Congress Unlikely to Back Imf Gold Sale in Current Form: Part 3

<Picture>

While that assertion is certainly true, it is also a
fact of life: the IMF has not and will not write off debts.
So if IMF debt relief is to be funded, it will have to be
funded through ESAF, US administration officials assert.
The US Treasury Department also recognizes and hopes to
capitalize on what many on lawmakers concede: There is broad
support among lawmakers for the HIPC initiative as a
concept; the difference lies in the funding. But Treasury
believes its efforts will ultimately convince lawmakers that
the widespread and long-term benefits of debt relief will
far outweigh any losses to an individual country's gold
sector.
However, administration officials realize that they need
urgently to start marshalling their arguments and getting
them out to congressmen. Treasury sees 2 types of opposition
in Congress--that from gold-state lawmakers and that from
lawmakers opposed in principle to the IMF.
Those from gold-producing states should be convinced by
arguments that the IMF is designing the proposed sale in
such a way as to have little or no impact on the market
price.
Former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin said 2 weeks ago
that the sale is being designed in such a way as to have no
market impact.
However, Treasury is also critical of lawmakers who
support the concept of debt relief yet remain opposed to
gold sales to fund the proposal. Officials believe opponents
of gold sales should make fresh proposals to fund the
initiative if they don't support the gold sales.
Rep. Frank said he would support a purely budgetary
allocation to fund IMF debt relief. But he recognized he
probably stands in a small camp on that issue. Thus he
proposed setting aside 10% of the sales proceeds to create
an additional social safety net for those hit hardest by
both the sales and the adjustment required by the IMF under
ESAF conditions. But he recognizes that even that is going
to be something of a long shot.
"My sense is that now that some of the African producers
have come out against it, it's going to be hard to get it
across the Hill," Frank concluded.

Bridge News, Tel: (202) 662-7109
Send comments to Internet address: emerg@bridge.com

End