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To: Harry Landsiedel who wrote (85156)7/9/1999 1:53:00 PM
From: GVTucker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Harry, RE: My recollection is that EPS growth rates for the S&P range from 8%-10% and the S&P is trading for around 22-25 times earnings. That would make the 3.7x high but not totally outlandish.

The average estimate for the 5 year EPS growth rate of the S&P is 7%, according to Zack's. The average estimate for earnings for 1999 is $48.38. As I write this, the S&P is at 1398, which would translate to a PE of 28.8, and a PE/growth of 4.13x. If you use Dec 2000 earnings of $51.13 (and in reality, no one has any idea what earnings will be next year) that decreases the PE/g to 3.9x.