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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: keithsha who wrote (25793)7/9/1999 3:34:00 PM
From: johnd  Respond to of 74651
 
80% EPS growth is what I expect. Not wall street. Wall
street "expects" 40%. But you know that they are whispering
to each other about 60 to 70% EPS growth in 4Q. What they tell
in public has tobe taken at face value.

MSFT had 1.00 EPS in last 3 Q. If you add 45c that I expect in 4Q,
I get 1.45. So I did 1.45 * 80% to get 116 and then a PEG of 1.0.

You can do this differently and say 1.35 * (1.35/89 = yrly growth)
and get 67.5. But it is also to multiply with a PEG of higher
than 1.0. PEG of 2.0 would mean 135. PEG of 1.5 would be 100.