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Technology Stocks : New Era of Networks (NEON) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: senor slim who wrote (617)7/9/1999 5:05:00 PM
From: John Solder  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1222
 
Analysts look at two things:
1) Chicken bones scattered on the floor
2) Their paycheck



To: senor slim who wrote (617)7/9/1999 5:23:00 PM
From: ----------  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1222
 
Obviously a lot of people missed SOMETHING.
Sales had been moving up sequentially very nicely for 13 quarters.
Last quarter was (I believe), the first quarter where earnings were
not sequentially higher. This is how the analysts explained the
drop from the 70's to the 40's. ... the momentum mutual funds by
prospectus only own companies that post sequentially higher earnings
each quarter. When a company slips, they sell.

The BIG signal I personally missed was insider action. In the last 6 months there have been 10 reported insider transactions...all sells.*
(*Source= S&P MarketGuide). Someone on this thread has stated insiders own 40% of the company. Per the S&P MArketGuide, as of 3/31/99 that number was 24%. (Thus, part of the basis for the flurry of litigation against the company .)

Everything that had been posted up until "the bomb" was dropped
had been rosy, IMO. I'm no analyst, not even a lawyer or a CPA.
I can read the news, go to the company website & see what is there
and read the consensus estimates posted at places such as YAHOO!
quotes.

Naturally, the questions that remain are :"What else do they know that they aren't saying?"

Again, other than the facts stated & reference sources given, everything else is just my opinion......which if my opinion is
only as good as my stock picking, it ain't worth a lot!

Still long NEON and still very confused.

Doug



To: senor slim who wrote (617)7/9/1999 5:51:00 PM
From: Susan Saline  Respond to of 1222
 
>>> What were these analysts with price targets of $70 looking at. From the posts today, everything looks bleak. Is this all new, or has everone been overlooking these signs? <<<

well heck ... didn't they lower their estimates AFTER it dumped?

that's why they're called 'anal'ysts



To: senor slim who wrote (617)7/9/1999 5:53:00 PM
From: Susan Saline  Respond to of 1222
 
one day .... investors and traders ... won't be going lawsuit crazy after the company's ... one day ... and I lust for it ... they'll be going after the 'anal'ysts .... just a lusty thought ...