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Technology Stocks : America On-Line (AOL) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TARADO96 who wrote (25484)	7/12/1999 7:05:00 AM
From: Henry Niman	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 41369

AOL Goes to Washington. This morning CNBC carried a story on an Internet Lobbying Group. Companies in group include AOL,YHOO,AMZN, EBAY, LCOS, DCLK, TGLO. Details linked to the CNBC Specials table at internetcognizance.com

To: TARADO96 who wrote (25484)	7/12/1999 8:56:00 AM
From: tang	Respond to of 41369

Assuming AOL's Marc Andreessen's prediction is right about AOL will be as big as MSFT in 3 1/2 years, I did some math with current AOL and MSFT's market valuation: MSFT's market value is 400 B today, AOL is 138 B MSFT next 5 years growth rate is averaging 22% (current and next 5 years) so at the end of 3 1/2 years, MSFT should have a market cap. of 806 B. 806 B / 138 B = 5.8 This means at the end of the next 3 1/2 year, AOL should have two 2-1 splits and one 3-2 split if AOL splits at $170. If AOL splits at $150 or lower, three 2-1 splits allowed in that range. If that works out, 2 splits a year seems unlikely for the next 3 1/2 years. I'll take one split per year for year 2000, 2001 and 2002.