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To: DOUG H who wrote (12303)	7/12/1999 11:03:00 AM
From: Ron Dior	Respond to of 29970

Sorry if this link was already posted. Just some interesting reading.. zdnet.com Ron Dior

To: DOUG H who wrote (12303)	7/12/1999 11:05:00 AM
From: Frank A. Coluccio	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 29970

Doug, Yes, I've seen that article, too. The author doesn't understand the dual phenomena of incremental offsets and leapfrogging, IMO. Shakeouts will occur, and bandwidth will be retired before its time, but not because there is too much bandwidth, but because bandwidth was put in indiscriminately, or without discretion, by those who are lacking in economical outlooks, but instead were looking simply to seize what they perceived as gold rush-like opportunities at the time. As an example, in downtown Manhattan there is a "plug and go" program which is essentially a program promoted by City Hall that allows tax abatements to landlords who prewire buildings for tenants. So, vast amounts of Category 5 copper are being installed to each desk outlet from closets, with fiber in every backbone riser. Then there is the older wiring that was put in (older, maybe several to five years ago which in many cases is the same thing being put in under plug and go toay), supporting previous tenants that is also reusable, but is being torn out. And then you have the Silicon Alley types moving in to those real estate parcels whose bandwidth requirements far exceed the former two overlays capacities, entirely. Not only do the pre-wired scenarios lack the sufficient amounts of dedicated bandwidth, but they also lack the necessary security measures that the new tenants demand, as well. But in sum, one could argue that the amount of bandwidht from all three overlays represented a glut. This analogy spills into the last mile, if you give it a chance, with multiple players each delivering barely suitable amounts of bandwidth. But the sum totals of all of them could easily be called a glut. However, they are not contiguously usable amounts of bandwidth, which makes them less than useful, at all. Yes, there may be a glut of wiring and wirelessing going on, potentially, but none of the scenarios I've enumerated on (and this goes for the future combined cable/dsl/ wirelesses) are up to speed in being able to support the next generation's needs in their native forms in an affordable manner. I maintain this to be true now, and on average, looking into the foreseeable future. And so it goes... Regards, Frank Coluccio