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To: unclewest who wrote (24566)7/12/1999 2:35:00 PM
From: Skeeter Bug  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 93625
 
>>you have told us repeatedly that if anyone could demonstrate even a small incremental improvement in rambus rdram-d over sdram it would be a huge success.<<

i never said that. please show me the post where i said that. i posted multiple times that rdram was better. i said serious gamers would buy it b/c it would significantly improve their experience.

what i did say is that the economics of the avg pc user indicates that rdram will be doa for the masses.

>>you are obviously blind, deaf, unreasonable, and very short.<<

first, at least get your facts straight before you insult me for something i NEVER said. second, 5'11" isn't short. third, don't always believe everything you hear from a source when that source has vested financial interest in getting you to believe something. that is EXTREMELY naive.



To: unclewest who wrote (24566)7/12/1999 2:40:00 PM
From: richard surckla  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
 
Sure would like to see some dialog between Skeeter Bug and Don Green. Sure would be interesting.<GGG>



To: unclewest who wrote (24566)7/12/1999 2:44:00 PM
From: Dave B  Respond to of 93625
 
unclewest,

Some things never change, and one of them is that Skeeter doesn't post his sources (from the Dell thread 2/27/99):

Message 8073147

To: Skeeter Bug (105676 )
From: Chuzzlewit
Saturday, Feb 27 1999 11:05PM ET
Reply #105677 of 136298

Skeeter, don't you understand that what we need is data, not intuition or equations. Your equation isn't at fault, it's the input. You assumed that unit growth was based 12% - 15% on marketing data. You next assumed that ASPs fell significantly. And from those assumptions you calculated what you prefer to believe the revenue growth was because Michael Burke said so. Now let's look at alternate assumptions each consistent with existing reports and data. If unit growth was 15%, and revenues increased by 3% then ASPs declined by 10.5%. What's wrong with that scenario?

What is wrong is that we still need data, not assumptions or calculations based on assumptions. Every marketing statistic has a confidence interval associated with it. What is the standard error of your calculation? Why would you have more faith in it than mine? After all, both are consistent with what we have been told.

The fact is that the only indication I have of computer revenues comes from a report from Merrill Lynch which neither of us have seen. That report shows that revenues either increased 1% (as in the article you cited) or 3%-5% (as in the two articles I saw). But those are at best tertiary accounts. What data did Merrill use, and what was their source, and what was the integrity of the numbers -- those are the real questions, and all of the suppositions in the world will not erase those questions.

Your reliance on Michael Burke leads me to believe that you have confidence in his world view. I think he has a monumental ego that chooses to seize on any bit of information supporting his point of view and ignoring anything that is inconsistent, or, as he clearly did with me, try to twist the data to his own purposes. I suggest you try some independent thinking. He has yet to be right on anything concerning the computer industry where data are available.


And even now he's not doing the research, but still trying to get others to do it.

To: Michael D.Burke (64437 )
From: Skeeter Bug
Monday, Jul 12 1999 2:00PM ET
Reply #64440 of 64443

mike, you posted an article saying pc revs were up 1-2% while units were up 20%. can you point me to it? tia...


Dave