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To: Dale Baker who wrote (8746)7/14/1999 5:15:00 AM
From: Dale BakerRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 118717
 
Steve Harmon on BWEB - sounds good:

Subject: The Steve Harmon "Internet Stock Guru" Discussion
To: CRUSADER4TRUTH (2145 )
From: steve harmon - analyst ( Ignore ) Wednesday, Jul 14 1999 3:17AM ET
Reply # of 2197

bweb - i think it's critical for corporations to have bandwidth controls for cost reasons...backweb allows companies to use what now is un-used bandwidth (i.e. the idle time between email, page loads, user actions)
it's also great for distributing data and docs broadcast style (another bandwidth saver)

competitors in some ways are marimba (nasdaq:mrba) but i don't see another with this 'polite agent' approach (using formerly idle pipes which are 'on' but not used



To: Dale Baker who wrote (8746)7/14/1999 5:21:00 AM
From: Dale BakerRespond to of 118717
 
Update - selling IFSX today (dead money) and putting proceeds into a starter position in DCLK. DCLK is moving to be a sector leader with its latest acquisitions, like EGRP and SONE.



To: Dale Baker who wrote (8746)7/15/1999 8:11:00 PM
From: Glenn PetersenRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 118717
 
I saw your comments on ONEM and I thought that you might be interested
in this valuation analysis of some of the larger U.S. ISPs. The
analysis is based, with the exception of ELNK which reported its
second quarter results yesterday, on the first quarter numbers. I
think it is safe to assume that the valuations for the other ISPs can
each be reduced by at least 10% to reflect their second quarter
results. ONEM has consistently trailed the others in terms of its
valuation. I think that there are a number of reasons for this. Roll
ups are never popular and the ONEM deal was a complicated. Secondly,
since ONEM completed its IPO on March 30, 1999, the first quarter
Form 10-Q consisted of pro forma results. Everyone is waiting for a
proof of concept. ONEM has had a good run over the last several weeks
and I think that it is going to pull back from its current level. I
generally update this schedule each weekend and post it on the ONEM thread.

Internal
Qtr to Qtr Percentage
Valuation per Market cap/ Subscriber Decline
Subscriber Sales Growth From High

BIZZ 2,824 8.39 11.31% 48.95%

ELNK(3) 1,435 6.06 15.58% 39.50%

FLAS 1,930 12.86 10.49% 48.54%

GEEK 1,788 8.37 14.58% 66.39%

MSPG 2,495 13.77 9.81% 64.66%

ONEM (1) 1,579 8.02 11.77% 37.17%

PRGY (2) 2,263 11.89 16.04% 46.05%

(1) Adjusted for the acquisition of "The Grid."
(2) Excludes Prodigy Classic subscribers. Adjusted for acquisition of
150,000 Cable & Wireless subscribers (transaction expected to
close in fourth quarter)
(3) Quarter ending June 30, 1999

The above analysis is based on a review of the most recent SEC filings
and the July 15, 1999 closing prices.



To: Dale Baker who wrote (8746)7/15/1999 8:17:00 PM
From: Glenn PetersenRespond to of 118717
 
One more comment on ONEM. As I mentioned in my earlier post, the original deal was complicated and included some contingent compensation for the owners of the ISPs being acquired. The S-1 was unclear as to how much compensation was involved. However, I did an analysis several weeks ago that would seem to indicate that the additional compensation is going to be relatively minor. You can find this analysis at:

siliconinvestor.com

siliconinvestor.com