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Gold/Mining/Energy : SOUTHERNERA (t.SUF) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Andrew who wrote (3999)7/14/1999 7:47:00 AM
From: Andrew  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 7235
 
Well I needed an excuse to take post #4000 so I thought I'd post this FWIW

SouthernEra Resources Limited -

SouthernEra fourth most active conference

SouthernEra Resources Limited
SUF
Shares issued 26,881,395
1999-07-09 close $4.44
Monday Jul 12 1999
Week ended July 9th
by Stockwatch business reporter
SouthernEra was reviewed in the last issue of Forum Watch, moving up to claim
fourth position among Canada Stockwatch's most active conferences this week.
There have been no newsworthy developments in the interim.
Conference discussion early in the week picked up on Sufferring's frustration with
SouthernEra's languishing share price. Drawing on some information provided by
Sufferring and from SouthernEra's news releases, WillP drew attention to a
number of uncertainties: "You'll note the differences of opinion as to mining rates,
dilution, and other such uncertainties. The market abhors uncertainty." In a
subsequent post, he commented: "SouthernEra is valued for M1, and little more.
Possibly, the rest of Klipspringer is starting to creep in a bit...but not much. The
rest? Totally no value. I expect SUF to climb a bit when Leopard is more fully
understood by the market. I don't think Camafuca will move it whatsoever until
some earnings start creeping onto the balance sheet." Midas agreed that sorting
through the SouthernEra news releases "can be kind of confusing," going on to
suggest: "The Ndau section of the Leopard fissure will be developed over the next
six months. By the time that the plant catches up with the stockpile both the Ingwe
and Ndau should be producing 12 to 15 thousand tonnes per month each." By his
"rough production estimates," SouthernEra should be reaping $8,348,400 (U.S.)
net per month for the third quarter. In a well-presented post, Que Seria
commented on Sufferring's suggestion that the company should intervene in the
market: "I feel your pain, but I also feel it isn't management's business to make
infusions of the company's precious capital in order to keep the stock price from
falling...Later on, when the company needed cash to meet exploration and
construction needs, we would look back on such short-term palliatives and spell
them D-I-L-U-T-I-O-N. An ugly word, which SUF is trying to avoid having
pinned on it...I see investors being cool to SUF, in a once-burned, twice-shy
mode. Its obvious appeal lies in considerable resources at Klipspringer, what I
believe are soon-to-be confirmed reserves of PGMs via Messina's property and
diamonds in Angola, with blue sky in the NWT. The downside is that skeptical
investors want SUF to 'show me the money' (i.e., profits projected from reserves
likely to last a decade) before they buy."
The attempts to address Sufferring's concerns seemed to have little effect as he
repeated his call for the company to intervene in the market and, going further,
questioned the accuracy of the information being released: "Anyone, is there an
agency that will look into the activities of this company, and investigate the validity
of the information they are releasing?" Another carefully considered response was
offered by Que Seria, who suggested: "Unless people are intending to sell in the
short-term for whatever reason, or lack confidence in the long-term, why should
they care about near-term downdrafts in the stock price? I'm looking at persistent
selling and thinking about buying more shares if the price has some more of these
spikes down on low volume. I sure don't want my capital dollars going to assure a
steady exit price for other stockholders, no matter what their needs to exit the
stock." Midas was more direct, providing some figures before closing with: "Get
out your calculator and then buy some more cheap shares. There is no better buy
on the market that I can identify except maybe the East Lost Hills partners."
GeoffB joined the discussion with another lengthy and well-argued post: "In my
experience, the stock markets rarely correctly reflect the value of a stock in the
resource sector. Stocks go from being overvalued to oversold in a very short time,
mostly because in the early stages, a resource play is very difficult to value.
SouthernEra has 'graduated' from being a resource play to being a stock with
valuable assets (undervalued at current prices), earnings and a P/E (when was the
last time you saw that in a resource stock)." His conclusion was that Sufferring
made the right decision in buying shares of SouthernEra. "Now, you just have to
wait for the rest of the market to realize that." SouthernEra finished the week at
$4.44.
(c) Copyright 1999 Canjex Publishing Ltd. canada-stockwatch.com

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