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Technology Stocks : VALENCE TECHNOLOGY (VLNC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Rich Wolf who wrote (13144)	7/16/1999 10:42:00 AM
From: Doug McKenzie-Mohr	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 27311

I read a review last night of the Canon Elura digital camcorder. It was very positively reviewed with the exception of its lithium ion battery which lasts only 15 minutes (yes, you read that correctly). I know that Valence can presently produce both cell phone and laptop batteries off of their lines. Can they also manufacture camcorder batteries? Anyone who has had their battery run out at a child's recital or school play knows that there is a real need for longer life batteries for camcorders.

To: Rich Wolf who wrote (13144)	7/16/1999 1:21:00 PM
From: Eli74	Respond to of 27311

Rich, I'm not exactly sure what Occam'Razor is (the simplest explanation is the most likely explanation?), but it seems to me that all you've got to do is look at he potential risk reward of the trade. If someone shorts the stock, the most they're going to make $7-$8/ share (assuming the stock went to zero and was delisted). On the other hand, the loss is $150-$200/share (assuming the bull's case pans out). Now, I'll be the first to admit that I'm kinda simple minded, but I certainly wouldn't call a situation where my potential loss was 20x's my potential gain a particularly attractive risk/reward trade-off. Probably preaching to the choir, but, what seems to make sense to me.