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Technology Stocks : C-Cube -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JPM who wrote (43138)7/17/1999 12:30:00 PM
From: John Rieman  Respond to of 50808
 
Divicom builds NTL's headends. They all use Pace/C-Cube boxes.......................

multichannel.com

U.K.'s NTL Sets Its Sights on CWC

By CHRIS FORRESTER July 19, 1999



London -- The United Kingdom's three MSO giants are closer than ever to taking their long-awaited merger plans to the next level.

Last Thursday, NTL Inc. confirmed that it is in discussions with Cable & Wireless Communications plc "about a possible transaction in which certain assets of [CWC] would be merged with NTL."

That deal's pathway is being smoothed by a pending agreement that would give NTL ample funding from France Telecom.

The end result could see France Telecom pony up around $5 billion, which, when combined with NTL paper, would give NTL $8 billion to take control of CWC's 1.2 million-home cable-TV and residential-telephony assets.

Sources said CWC wants to hold onto its cable-based business-telephony connections. Those assets would be acquired by its parent company, Cable & Wireless plc, which would roll them into Mercury Personal Communications Ltd., its U.K. long-distance company.

CWC's share price surged on the rumors last week.

Investec Henderson Crosthwaite telephony analyst Chris Godsmark said, "Our view is that [the merger between CWC and NTL] is going to happen sooner, rather than later."

Even after buying Comcast Corp.'s U.K. assets and Diamond Cable Communications plc last year, NTL is the smallest of the U.K.'s three MSOs, with 3.5 million homes passed. A successful bid would be a major coup for CEO Barclay Knapp.

NTL does have the highest penetration rates (27.9 percent) and the lowest churn levels in U.K. cable.

And a CWC insider viewed the NTL bid as "very good for the industry. What you get with this merger is the marketing clout of NTL with our very considerable technical clout. We are ahead of them in terms of interactive services -- we have stronger partners. But put us together and you have a very potent weapon."

Other scenarios could emerge. The third large U.K. MSO, Telewest Communications plc -- backed by AT&T Corp.'s Liberty Media International and Microsoft Corp. -- has been expected to close a similar deal for much of the past year. Back in April, CWC and Telewest confirmed that they were talking.

On May 21, Telewest consolidated its main bank debt and, in the process, secured a new consolidated credit facility of £1.5 billion ($2.4 billion). The London market is also talking about Telewest currently seeking another £1 billion worth of funding, so an 11th-hour rival bid for CWC is not being ruled out.

If NTL buys CWC, there is still room for Telewest to play. Microsoft owns 29.9 percent of Telewest and 5 percent of NTL. The opportunity for Microsoft to play a similar role in Britain as it has done with its U.S. cable assets is obvious.



To: JPM who wrote (43138)7/17/1999 11:00:00 PM
From: Craig Gordon  Read Replies (6) | Respond to of 50808
 
98 Q3 was sequentially 3.7 million more then 98 Q2 - not 10 million.

98 Q4 was sequentially 9.6 million more than 98 Q3

94.1 + 3.7 = 97.8 est for Q3

Q4 est

97.8 + 9.6 + 7 = 114.4 ( 7 Million added for extra DVD chip sales, but who knows the average DVD chip sales price?)

114.4+97.8+94.1+96.5= 402.8 Million for the year - an 8% rise in sales over the previous year --- big deal

In looking closely at the chart I see 31 coming soon followed by 27 and maybe 25. It depends on the rest of the market.

Longer term January it could make it to 50, depending on Y2k,the market overall the actual performance and the overall outlook for CUBE's future at that time. (don't forget about the psychological outlook on wall street)



To: JPM who wrote (43138)7/20/1999 2:51:00 AM
From: JPM  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50808
 
as i said the other day, i think CUBE might dip as low as $32... and I think it's important that it does not break below that level if the uptrend is to continue. (the critical level may be even lower, near $30... depends on how you draw the uptrend line).

but lets hope that $32 is as low as this will get... if it gets that low

j