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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Les H who wrote (41849)7/17/1999 5:12:00 PM
From: Skeet Shipman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Les,
An important question, one worth more thought. A good article.
As AG alluded to in his speech. The critical question is:
Are we in an unstable bubble?
Skeet
From Allen Greenspan's recent speech:

" The 1990s have witnessed one of the great bull stock markets in American history. Whether that means an unstable bubble has developed in its wake is difficult to assess. A large number of analysts have judged the level of equity prices to be excessive, even taking into account the rise in "fair value" resulting from the acceleration of productivity and the associated long-term corporate earnings outlook.

But bubbles generally are perceptible only after the fact. To spot a bubble in advance requires a judgment that hundreds of thousands of informed investors have it all wrong.
Betting against markets is usually precarious at best. "

(Do you agree with everything he said here?)



To: Les H who wrote (41849)7/18/1999 9:02:00 AM
From: William H Huebl  Respond to of 94695
 
LH,

Great link... will respond to author.

Also, I enjoyed the other response to your post... AG's "...unstable..." bubble theory.

Bill



To: Les H who wrote (41849)7/18/1999 9:26:00 AM
From: William H Huebl  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Les,

BTW, I sent the following message to the author of the "...the bubble..."

Mr. Belec,

I enjoyed your article today on FOX Market Wire... interestingly enough, one comment was that you did not address AG's - Alan Greenspan's concern... Are we in an unstable bubble?

techstocks.com

Perhaps you could write an article concerning the nuances of STABLE bubbles... and perhaps figure out the signs that sophisticated market observers' like AG use to detect growing STABLE bubbles versus STABLE bubbles becoming UNSTABLE versus STABLE bubbles being reduced to normal market action.

I know your readership would DOUBLE if you could do that...

(Maybe triple???)

Bill Huebl