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Strategies & Market Trends : How To Write Covered Calls - An Ongoing Real Case Study! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Herm who wrote (11213)7/17/1999 4:13:00 PM
From: Skipperr  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 14162
 
Thank you, Herm, for the very nice welcome:
Welcome Skipperr to our forum! You have the exact attitude and friendly mind set that would fit right in with our regulars and astute lurkers out there.

My goal is to become educated first so as to avoid making expensive mistakes as you pointed out here:
We don't like to hear or see people lose money because of the bad decisions they have made for themselves before discovering us.

Additionally, I share your goal:
Bottom line? I prefer to know exactly how something works and do it for myself. I enjoy the satisfaction in learning.

Now, with all the valuable information you've provided on Covered Call resources, I can start digging in.

It may take a while, but I hope to make a valuable contribution someday to another investor new to the Covered Call strategies.

Finally, Yes, I do see the differences:
Others, want someone else to do the thinking for them. They pay their money and expect results....For the majority, it may very well be the experience of eating with the family around the dinner table at home in order to share their stories and life experiences for that day. See the differences? :-)

Thank you for your warm welcome and valuable investment resources. I'm looking forward to learning more.

Have a great day!
Skipperr



To: Herm who wrote (11213)7/17/1999 8:08:00 PM
From: Herm  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 14162
 
FROM THE EMAIL QUESTIONS asked by George

I thought this would be of interest to those of you that received the
current free CCing newsletter from the folks at
coveredcalls.com this month on reading the charts using
the BB and RSI.

THE QUESTION?

Herm: informative post on BB and RSI. Your sample charts are 30
minute charts. How do you decide whether to use 30 minutes, 60
minutes or daily charts?

For example, the RSI values and slope of curve are different for the
30 minutes and daily charts for Novell. Which chart should be used?
I encountered this quandary with ANDW. The Daily chart gives me the
signal that uptrend will continue. Tags upper BB band, RSI = 59.83
with positive slope. On the other hand the 30minute chart has BB
narrowed and RSI slope negative, which suggest a downtrend. Firstly,
is my interpretation correct? Appreciate your comments. Regards.


MY ANSWER

Good questions! I want to use the illustration of a pilot leaving LA
bound for NY. The pilot might start out with a radar view of the
entire US before setting out (weekly chart setting for RSI and BB).
They want to make sure they have the right flight path for the
conditions they will encounter while in the air ( CC or holding
position with some target price range in mind).

They check out the airplane for fuel, tires, engines, electrical
systems, computers, etc. ( stock fundamentals, earning dates, split
dates, insider buying or selling, short interest, open interest).
Now, the plane leaves LA and is mid-way and they run another check of
the NY landing zone for the latest updating conditions (switch to
daily chart profiles). An announcement comes over the plane radio
that a potential storm may be in the area when they arrive at NY
(toggle between daily and 60 minute charts). The storm came from
nowhere very suddenly. They have to pay closer attention just in case
of an emergency (they may have to write CCs or cover CCs or buy to
average down they may use 30 minute charts for last minute buy/sell
timing).

So, in summary.

1, Weekly profile - Beautiful double-bottom bounce in play as we
speak! Both RSI and OBV are still moving upward along with the
simple average within the upper and lower BB. Overhead resistance
should start to kick in soon! Notice the upper and lower BBs are
both slanted up and to the right slant. Meaning? There is no
divergence. So, the move is well balanced and full of solid
momentum. Gappers show up as BB divergence and they peter out faster
than a solid up moving average with higher highs and higher lows.
Stocastics is just starting to go negative. That is an early warning
sign. No real danger yet. I give a prediction of a possible $25 top
for this cycle.

iqc.com

2. Daily Profile - Very nice upper and lower divergence and a gap
upward in-line with weekly profile. Trend is still upward because
closing price was above the upper BB. OBV is fantastic. Steady money
flowing into ANDW. RSI still has room to move up before any action.
Stocastics still positive and will give the first caution signal for
this cycle run. Target price is above $23 for sure! Simple average
still steep! Go baby go!

iqc.com

3. 60-Min. Profile - I can tell that the break through $19.00 was
the trigger for the gap! Now, when it comes time to write CCs or
sell will show up fast in a 60-min. signal. The RSI is hardy working
at this setting. It should peak out sooner or later. That will be
your clue to take action!

iqc.com

The art of reading the charts is based on what side of the fence you
are working. If you are setting up your CCers, then you need to
calculate the price ranges and the pivot points within reason. If you
are buying stock or calls you need to know the narrow BBs and
divergence of the BBs to the up side. You have a smoker here! She's
hot!

George! The weekly setting shows more weeks out. I can tell you
this. If I paid $26.00 ALL THE WAY BACK IN 1997 and this is the
first chance in 1999 since 1997 to dump, I would dump. Wouldn't
you????? So, you know what to do if you are a sharp shooting CC
cowboy? Go deep and long with CCs with sideshow PUTs! Use your
CCer's money for your insurance! If you need to unload, do so.
Otherwise, nice looking stock!

Now, if you wrote CCs at $19 and the stock gaps like it did. I would
have immediately picked up sideshow calls to capture the upward
appreciation. I don't like to cover at a lost. Also, since I tend to
write more than two months out, I have a greater amount of time to
work the stock and pay for the sideshows easier. The stock may cycle
up and sideways and I still make money until they call me out! If
you are short for say one month out you are cooked faster since you
don't have the time working in your favor. I think there is much
more risk from a CCers standpoint. We have the CC tool shed to
repair any damage to our positions.

Thanks for the great question.....