Stan Weinstein's comments on NBR on Friday:
KANGAS: Things are better now?
WEINSTEIN: Things are better but I want to make clear, it's not an A plus position right now. It's a B. It's OK. It's much better than last summer, but we have to be careful. It's far from an A.
KANGAS: On July 10 when were you with us as a "Market Monitor," the Dow was, as I say, 9,100. And you said avoid stocks like Brylane (BYL) and Dress Barn (DBRN) and Lockheed (LMT) and Pillowtex (PTX); and they were just murdered.
WEINSTEIN: Had some bad days.
KANGAS: Two went against you; Paccar (PCAR) moved up a little bit and so did Mentor (MNTR). You said to hold Costco (COST), which did very well. You also liked United Air (UAL), and Dime Bancorp (DME) that didn't fare as well; they were down. And then you said sell Bethlehem Steel (BS), which was a good move; it's down 50 percent there. And Egghead (EGGS) you said sell, and it's down 50 percent. But Sapient (SAPE) went up about 50 percent. So not bad, all in all. And you liked General Instruments (GIC), which was a great call; that's way up from 27 then to 48 now. Are you still in that?
WEINSTEIN: That one we're still in. That acts well. Costco, we had to start taking profits.
KANGAS: OK. How do you generally view, at that time you said the blue chips would outperform the small caps. Have you changed your mind?
WEINSTEIN: Absolutely. I think it's the most important thing, Paul, we can get into tonight. Whereas the last two years we've been saying blue chips are where it's at. In April, you know, reading the tape reader, we made a major switch over. We're saying now secondaries are where it's at. Oh, there are some blue chips that will be OK. But in general, I see a lot of blue chips acting very poorly. Conversely, I think secondaries are where it's at. Every hour I see another secondary stock coming...
KANGAS: ... which secondaries do you like?
WEINSTEIN: All right, we'll give you a couple. First of all, I like Barnes&Noble.com (BNBN), for those that can do speculative stocks; symbol BNBN. Ciena Corp (CIEN), I think that looks very good. Also, Friendly's Ice Cream (FRND), tastes good even if it doesn't work. And also I like Novell (NOVL); those are good. Just as importantly, I want people to avoid a lot of the blue chips. Like, negative on AutoZone (AZO). I do not like Disney, Fed Express (FDX), and also McGraw-Hill (MHP); those are all stocks to avoid. So, selectivity is where it's at.
KANGAS: Bonds?
WEINSTEIN: Bonds, been bearish since last November. Now struggling to form a base. No better than "neutral," I would not be a bond buyer here.
KANGAS: Our second question from our viewers comes from Emry Bella of Edmonton, Alberta, Canada who watches us on Spokane, Washington's KSPS. And the question is, "can you briefly explain the meaning of the M-2 money supply and its significance? Is it really important anymore?"
WEINSTEIN: I'll leave it to Greenspan to explain. But I'll just say, not real important. Remember in the old days, every Friday they were watching...
KANGAS: ... every Thursday.
WEINSTEIN: Every Thursday, right. Every Thursday it came out. They were watching it. No, I would just say long-term it's not a coincidence that the money supply has done pretty good and the stocks have done well. So, a very long-term basis. But watch it week by week. I don't watch it.
KANGAS: You watch it what, quarter by quarter?
WEINSTEIN: Absolutely. The trend quarter by quarter is what's more important.
KANGAS: OK. And we don't have that anticipation like you...
WEINSTEN: ... no. No way. Not every Thursday like it used to be.
KANGAS: Very good. Stan, thanks very much for being with us.
WEINSTEIN: Always my pleasure, Paul.
KANGAS: Great. My guest, Stan Weinstein, the editor and publisher of the widely followed "Professional Tape Reader".
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