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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Raymond Duray who wrote (31487)	7/18/1999 1:03:00 PM
From: Proud_Infidel	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 70976

If China were to invade Taiwan, would the likes of TSMC and UMC still be able to buy advanced semiconductor equipment from the US? My guess is no. We cannot sell China supercomputers, so why would we sell them the equipment to make them? Anyone have any insight into this. Katherine? BTW, I do not believe it will happen, but am curious as to the ramifications if it ever would. Trusting China to do the right thing is probably not prudent, given its history in Tibet, Tiennamen Square etc etc. TIA, Brian

To: Raymond Duray who wrote (31487)	7/18/1999 2:07:00 PM
From: Don Lloyd	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 70976

Ray - (...There is no compelling economic reason that the civilian leaders in Beijing would have the least bit of interest in creating several years of chaos for the region...) Given that economic reality is rarely understood even in the developed world, this is of little comfort. The financial well being of the leaders of totalitarian regimes is an inherent side effect of political control, which is always enhanced by war, at least up to the point of defeat. With what is effectively a puppet regime in Washington, lacking will, credibility and capability, the PRC may well calculate that the time is ripe for forced re-unification, in a way not true for generations past and unlikely to remain true for long into the future. The only real restraining factor is the risk of Taiwan's own teeth being both sharp and effective, or at least lucky. Regards, Don