SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Idea Of The Day -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (27662)7/19/1999 7:00:00 PM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Respond to of 50167
 
10204 the DOW tried four time during the session to get out of the strangle hold but could not, I see this is a important barrier ofr the market to breach, MSFT is trading down after a blockbuster number and if market is unable to react on good news it is clear indication that everything upwards and bullish is built in them market, momentum players would naturally not like this they would like the positions to work and if MSFT IBM block buster can be dented than I would think that this market although has set a tone for summer would like to test some lower supports, I think that CMGI DCLIK INKT @ 100 95 and 110 are very close to critcal breach of supports as such further weakening in DOT is in the offing if these key stocks alongwith AMZN and AOL YHOO do not maintain these supports, I would think that we can see a steep selling within next few sessions if 11204 remains unconquered, I see a chance making lot more money on the down side in next few days than the upside, the earning plays are alright but the market is already discounting positive surprises in such a case the path of least resistance and absence of big news next week as major earnings are out may lead to some consolidation, I have prepared for that and replaced my in the monies with out of the monies in case of MSFT IBM to be in the play but with very little, I still think that techs like SOX may see some steeper selling as money leaves the techs and get into other lucrative sectors, like finacials, I see strong possiblitity of financials as sector rotation comes into play moreover I see bio techs and pharmas also in the play as would be transportation, all in all good to realize profits below 2720 on Comp... or 1408 on SPU.. if it hits anytime 1405 just think that we will see 1385 in no time huge sell orders await market at 1394 level, in my opinion that would be ticked up if market remains subdued after IBM MSFT.. which looks most likely even if we have a short rally, it is the perception of 2000 problems that cause jitters lathough IBm denies a slow down but MSFT acknowledges it..

I see SOX a sell below 492.. DOT a buy at 595 or 632 with a stop at 570... and BKX a buy at 886 or 912 with a stop at 850.. if DOW remains below 11204 for next few session I would be underweight and will try to re-establish positions in secotrs which I have highlighted this is going to be a short term rattle but in my opinion a trader in me would never like to miss this chance if we can pick few things cheaper for trading... INKT DLCK AOL 112 MOT 90 LU 73 NOK 93 are my targets, IBM 123 and MSFT 90-92.. so the little visibility I have I will try to capitalise and try to establish long put positions with SPU in strength,, if I see one..



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (27662)7/19/1999 7:07:00 PM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
As people prepared for a long run on back of IBM MSFT, it was one of the few occasion in post earning era that I went into these earnings coming out of my long calls and establishing out of them money if it rallies, this market is backing the ones who give a better picturs of future and selling current good news menaing that market expects that good news are limited in capacity in future, INTC failed the market it roared up on good outlook, MSFT beats and slips.. here in middle of bull run I get this feeling and had no problem cutitng my positions 3 hours beofre the close..
<<Monday, Jul 19 1999 1:01PM ET
Reply # of 27666

Looking at the market and thinking that nearly every time earning has come market has sold off, I would be preferably going into IBM, MSFT earnings replacing my 125's and 90's with 145's and 105's for Aug, I just have a feeling that all good earnings are priced in the market and profit taking is kind of rampant, so before people take profit why not I should book my profit>>

I think for me market positions are not be adored, we may see our maximum premium eroded and it is far much better for a trader to take opportunity and re-establish when market goes through this consolidation as a result of 'chronic long run'. I see some early symptoms and have taken some precautions but would only act big below 1399...



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (27662)7/24/1999 10:11:00 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 50167
 
My two important indicators have shown good recovery towards friday end.. one is NDX my favourite index in corrections, it closed above the support at 2300.. and if we see continued strength in this on Monday I think it is a very good sign, on RUT I think it looks like a break of my 450 support but I think it is a test of the parallel bottom trend line to the RUT peaks.. overlook the trend line that is not // to the peaks trend line, draw a line to // to the peaks and you will see that 448 area is a soild support..

NDX..

decisionpoint.com

RUT..

decisionpoint.com