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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: marc chatman who wrote (48185)7/20/1999 10:11:00 AM
From: Captain James T. Kirk  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Jul 20--NYMEX energy futures are seen lower ahead of the
expiration of Aug crude futures contracts today and the release of American
Petroleum Institute data, which are expected to show a rise in crude stockpiles
last week. Trade is expected to be choppy and rangebound with expiring Aug crude
testing support at $20.15 and later at $20.00.
* * *
NYMEX Aug crude ended the overnight Access session down 18c at $20.26. Aug
heating oil ended down 36 points at 51.00c, while Aug gasoline ended down 54
points at 61.25c.
"It's going to open up lower in profit-taking with Aug crude going off the
board today," a broker said. "It's definitely going to be a choppy day similar
to yesterday."
The spread between the expiring contract and Sep crude is expected to widen
today as participants roll over their positions in the final session of the Aug
contract. "We're buying Sep contracts and selling Auggie," a broker said.
"You're going to see the spread blow out maybe about 30 cents."
The market is also focusing on the release of API data with expectations for
crude stockpiles to have risen 1.5-2.5 million barrels last week, according to
most brokers and analysts. The market will likely come u
nder pressure if this expectation is confirmed.
But inventories of gasoline are anticipated to have dropped 1.0-2.0 million
barrels last week, while distillates--which include heating oil and diesel
fuel--are expected to have risen 1.0-2.0 million barrels. Refinery runs are
expected to have risen 0.2-0.5% points. (Story .1885)
Meanwhile, Valero confirmed it shut Sunday its 52,000-barrel-per-day fluid
catalytic cracking unit at its 160,000-bpd Texas City, Texas, refinery because
of a mechanical problem. Repairs are seen completed in 5-7 days. The FCC unit
was running at full capacity before the shutdown. (Story .20196)
Also, tensions heighten in Iraq as Baghdad today angrily dismissed the US
argument that its air strikes were in self-defense, after officials said 17
civilians died in the south of the country, many of them burnt to death in their
cars. The US "continues to term its aggressions against Iraq as acts of
self-defense, but honest commentators are disgusted by such words which are
nothing more than an insult," said Al-Qadissiya, an official daily. (Story
.12773)

UPCOMING:
--Aug crude futures expire today. Sep crude options expire Aug 17.
--Aug product options expire Jul 27, while Aug products expire Jul 30.
--API data are expected after 1600 ET Tuesday, while the US Department of Energy
data are expected after 0900 ET Wednesday.




To: marc chatman who wrote (48185)7/20/1999 11:39:00 AM
From: upanddown  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Did anyone read the article by Mavis in TSC yesterday ? The basic premise was that Unocal has had poor results to date in its deepwater GOM program. The thing that interested me was the opening paragraph.

Unocal (UCL:NYSE) likes to tout its souped-up drilling technology, which pierces the earth 47% faster than comparable wells. There's just one problem: The wells it's drilled with this fancy technology in the Gulf of Mexico's deep waters have been duds.

Unocal has invented an improved drilling technology? That doesn't make sense. They were using a RIG semi. Does RIG have faster drilling technology? Seems to me that deepwater rigs that can drill "47%" faster would have a distinct marketing advantage, given the majors whining about deepwater dayrates. Anyone have knowledge of deepwater drilling technology and who is involved ?

TIA,
John



To: marc chatman who wrote (48185)7/21/1999 9:56:00 AM
From: marc chatman  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 95453
 
I know the over-whelming sentiment here is negative short term, but I am getting a buy signal on FGI as of yesterday based on macd divergences on the daily and hourly charts. I won't be buying FGI because of the fundamentals and specifically the impending retirement of Holloway, but these signals have been pretty good so far.

Invest at your own risk.

Earnings out today for WFT and CAM. Looks like they missed estimates by slim margins.