SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DJessen33 who wrote (64900)7/20/1999 10:55:00 AM
From: Mike M2  Respond to of 132070
 
DJ, a trade deficit has never been considered a sign of a healthy economy until now but it is all spin. Eventually, a trade deficit will weaken your currency and the central bank will be forced to raise rates to defend that currency. Not a very good prospect for a nation with a negative savings rate and $5+ trillion in debt. Mike



To: DJessen33 who wrote (64900)7/20/1999 11:15:00 AM
From: Freedom Fighter  Respond to of 132070
 
DJ,

>>Can you please explain how a larger trade gap is evidence of a healthly economy?<<

There is a cyclical component to the trade deficit. If one economy is much stronger than its trading partner's economies, a trade deficit will generally occur. In the U.S. case it has been chronic for well over a decade so its current size is one part cyclical and one part imbalance. Wall St. only wants to talk about the cyclical portion, not the inevitable decline of the dollar.

Wayne



To: DJessen33 who wrote (64900)7/20/1999 11:53:00 AM
From: Knighty Tin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
DJ, The bullish crapola on this one is that we are the only ones with spending power, so a trade deficit indicates health. What it really indicates is that nobody wants our exports and that we are willing to go deeply into debt to buy their Game Boys. <g> But the bulls aren't all that bright.