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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: PMS Witch who wrote (26919)7/20/1999 6:47:00 PM
From: johnd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
PMS, For example I was predicting and hoping for 105 and 110
in trying to play with the short term players on this thread.
Time and again it is proven that it is diffcult. But in MSFT
case one can predict short term prices.

For example, I was able to predict when it was at 76 that it
will be close to 100 -105 by now. It did reach 100.75.

Now I predict that it will be in the range of 74 - 85 during
next 1 - 2 months. The only action I am taking on that prediction
is that I sold half of position today at 93.5

The reason for my belief, as said earlier:
Insider selling will start soon, market correction, DOJ news

I could turn out to be wrong and I hope I will be wrong so that



To: PMS Witch who wrote (26919)7/21/1999 1:37:00 AM
From: Dwight E. Karlsen  Respond to of 74651
 
>Lately, (last week or so) I've seen posts with $100, $105, and even $110 as near term targets. Today, I've seen $90, and even an $80.

ed predicted $120, you didn't see that? :-)

*sigh*. Yes, I was hoping for a more positive reaction to blow-out earnings. But with Maffei so bearish, what could people do but repeat his mantra. I personally feel that Maffei wanted the stock to go down, for some reason. Maybe to give Softie employees a better vesting price, so they wouldn't feel like they missed the train. Maybe Maffei just likes the rush of being able to move the market, and he knew it was primed for a drop. Anyway, he casually quashed the tracking stock rumor, opined about Y2K "uncertainties" (gee, that makes me feel good), emphasized that margins will not go higher, that sales growth would certainly slow...what reason did he leave for investors to remain in the stock for the next several months? I saw *none*, and decided that the breakout would fail, and then TA and momentum would do the rest. And I feel it will. We will get bounces, but say goodbye to $100-115 range for this cycle. We'll need to retrace to the next support level, then consolidate for awhile. In summary, the near-term momentum has sputtered.